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-   -   2/27: Gulfstream (7th-14th); Aqueduct 6th-9th/Oaklawn 7th-11th (X-C P5) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=69190)

Kasept 02-27-2021 03:41 AM

2/27: Gulfstream (7th-14th); Aqueduct 6th-9th/Oaklawn 7th-11th (X-C P5)
 
GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/C, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Superfecto 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Payne 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Just Whistle 8-1 5th
Super Add: #5 West Will Power 9-2 2nd


8th: Canadian Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/12' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Winters Back 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Monarchs Glen 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Olympic Runner 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Eons 4-1 5th


9th: Gulfstream Mile (G2), 4+, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Performer 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Eye of a Jedi 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Fearless 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Phat Man 5-1 5th


10th: OC/C, 4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Irksome end to the middle P4 and start of the late P5..

Best Value: #4 Sayyaaf 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #2 Opry 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Angelus Warrior 12-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Almashriq 20-1 11th


P4 Grid:

7: 1-2 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
10: 2-4-10 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $12 (5-6) + $28 (1-5)


11th:Honey Fox (G3), F&M-4+, 1m-T/12' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Got Stormy 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Zofelle 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Jakarta 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Feel Glorious 9-2 3rd


12th: Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Millefeuille 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Vequist 7-5 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Crazy Beautiful 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Curlin's Catch 8-1 5th


13th: The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 9.5f-T/96' (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Kalifornia Queen 4-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Tuned 6-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Heavenly Curlin 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Sister Hanan 6-1 3rd


14th: Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Greatest Honour 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #1 Drain the Clock 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 King's Ovation 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Fire At Will 7-2 8th


P5 Grid:

10: 2-4-10 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
11: 2-6 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
12: 3-5 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
13: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x3x1 = 120 x.50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (7-8) + $18 (1)


P4 Grid:

11: 2-6 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
12: 3-5 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
13: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 1-8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x.50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (4-6)



AQUEDUCT/OAKLAWN ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


AQU 6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Royal Suspect 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #1 (POE) Macho Boy 5-1 2nd/3rd
Next Best: #9 Judicial Restraint 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Our American Star 12-1 5th


AQU 7th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Our Man Mike 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Schokolade 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #4 Dr Ardito 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Viking Zim 5-1 5th


OP 7th: Razorback (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mystic Guide 9-5 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #1 Silver Prospector 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Owendale 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Hunka Burning Love 9-2 4th



AQU 8th: CLM, 4+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #10 Tale of Mist 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Win With Pride 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Frankie Barone 15-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Direct Order 5-1 2nd


OP 8th: Spring Fever, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Casual 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Kimari 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Amy's Challenge 5-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Ain't No Elmers 8-1 5th


AQU 9th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Best Value: #11 Electric Youth 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Blame It On Mary 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Laura's Bellamy 4-1 WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #9 Know It All Red 15-1 10th


AQU P4 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 9 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 3-9-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-11 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: $16 (7-8)


OP 9th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Test of Will 8-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Stilleto Boy 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Name Rejected 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #13 Molto Vivace 5-2 WON ($9.80)


OP 10th: Southwest (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Don't think it helps him much here, but it is Woodhouse's birthday..

Most Likely: #4 Jackie's Warrior 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Essential Quality 3-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #2 Saffa's Day 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Woodhouse 8-1 4th


X-C P5 Grid:

AQU 7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 7: 1-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
OP 8: 4-9 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
AQU 9: 4-11 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
OP 10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: $12 (3)

$0.50 Pick-5 (1/7/1,2,5,9/1/1) Paid $224.50 (A-A-A-B-A)


OP 11th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 8.5f

Best Value: #1 Muralist 12-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Lone Rock 4-1 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Easy Shot 20-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Warrior's Map 5-1 9th


OP P5 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
8: 4-9 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), 13 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
11: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (3) + $6 (13)


OP P4 Grid:

8: 4-9 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), 13 (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,5,9/13/1/10,11,13) Paid $50.15 (A-A-B-A)


Good luck!
Steve

bosox0518 02-27-2021 07:48 AM

Irksome...
 
:)

moses 02-27-2021 08:36 AM

Good luck Steve. Looks like you might have the number off for Jackie’s Warrior.

My original thought was to bet Jackie’s Warrior but based on what I’m seeing, I’m starting to doubt that he goes off at 8/5. Lots of people seem to be picking him. Curious to see what his odds will be.

Kasept 02-27-2021 10:22 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

AQU SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 02-27-2021 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1149730)
Good luck Steve. Looks like you might have the number off for Jackie’s Warrior.

My original thought was to bet Jackie’s Warrior but based on what I’m seeing, I’m starting to doubt that he goes off at 8/5. Lots of people seem to be picking him. Curious to see what his odds will be.

THX Mose.. Just feels like he's got the pace edge up front. May not beat Essential Quality at 9f or longer, but today..

moses 02-27-2021 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1149775)
THX Mose.. Just feels like he's got the pace edge up front. May not beat Essential Quality at 9f or longer, but today..

Agreed. If he’s the right price, I’m betting him. I don’t see any other pace to pressure him. Coming off a long layoff and the possible distance limitations, I just don’t want to bet him if he gets hammered at the windows.

cakes44 02-27-2021 02:31 PM

Performer is bad.

jms62 02-27-2021 04:13 PM

Can't believe you missed WholeBodeMeister ;)


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