Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   6/13: Belmont/Churchill (X-C P5); Gulfstream (Rainbow 6 Force Out) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=67964)

Kasept 06-13-2020 06:14 AM

6/13: Belmont/Churchill (X-C P5); Gulfstream (Rainbow 6 Force Out)
 
CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


BELMONT 7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cost Benefit 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #3 Windfall Profit 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Too Sexy 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Dovima 6-1 2nd


CHURCHILL 8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Hidden Facts 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 V J's Bet 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Dixieincandyland 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Even Beat 8-1 4th


BELMONT 8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Officer Hutchy 4-1 10th
Best Value: #4 Ruvies in Time 20-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Wailin Josie 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Pot of Hunny 12-1 6th


CHURCHILL 10th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #10 She Can't Sing 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Sconsin 12-1 WON ($41.00)
Next Best: #1 Miss T Too 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Remanded 15-1 5th


CHURCHILL 11th: Louisville H. (G3), 4+, 12f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Arklow 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Lombo 30-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Admission Office 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Tiz a Slam 7-2 6th


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 5 (A), - (B), 3-10 (C)
CD 8: 4-5 (A), 1-10 (B), 2-11 (C)
BEL 8: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), 9-10-12 (C)
CD 10: 1-6-10 (A), 2-5-9 (B), - (C)
CD 11: 5-7 (A), - (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18



GULFSTREAM PARK ~ RAINBOW 6 FORCE OUT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T/108' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Constitutional Pal 9-2 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #12 Leading West 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Imperial Moment 4-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Mighty Tough 30-1 10th


8th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Smash 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Shanghai Moon 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Man With a Plan 2-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Captain Duke 3-1 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T/108' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Donji 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Morning Stride 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 King Orb 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Grand Nenuco 4-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Flawless Moon 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Reservenotattained 6-1 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Bibleman 4-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Grand Moreland 15-1 8th


11th: HCP, 3+, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Noble Drama 9-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Diamond Oops 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Math Wizard 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Red Crescent 10-1 6th


12th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Desert General 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Dexter Road 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Just Kidding 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 So Long Chuck 7-2 WON ($13.00)
Hi-5 Play: #12 Kahramani 12-1 7th


P6 Grid:

7: 3-12 (A), 6-10 (B), 9 (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-10 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 7 (A), 8 (B), 10 (C)
11: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3x3 = 432 x .20 = $86.40
Budget A's: 2x3x2x1x3x3 = 108 x .20 = $21.60
Backups: #9 in 7th: (1x3x2x1x3x3 = 54 x .20 = $10.80) + #'s 2-9 in 9th: (2x3x2x1x3x3 = 108 x .20 = $21.60) + #10 in 10th: (2x3x2x1x3x3 = 108 x .20 = $21.60) = $54


P5 Grid:

8: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-10 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
10: 7 (A), 8 (B), 10 (C)
11: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 5-10 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
Budget A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 4-10 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-8 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
11: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-10 (A), 6 (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
Budget A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

ontheoutside 06-13-2020 10:32 AM

hi steve
 
2 questions
yourr gulfstream 11th you have 2 next best is one of them maybe supposed to be a best value?

and i noticec you didnt use a horse in the 11th at gulf today just asking what you saw not to use,, im only asking because hes on my virtual stable his name is letruska thank you

Kasept 06-13-2020 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ontheoutside (Post 1139227)
2 questions
yourr gulfstream 11th you have 2 next best is one of them maybe supposed to be a best value?

and i noticec you didnt use a horse in the 11th at gulf today just asking what you saw not to use,, im only asking because hes on my virtual stable his name is letruska thank you

Best Value: #8 Noble Drama 9-2
Next Best: #4 Diamond Oops 8-5
Exotics Use: #9 Math Wizard 3-1
Super Add: #6 Red Crescent 10-1

Letruska is OK.. 'Prefer other more' as they say..

G/L today Tom!

moses 06-13-2020 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1139230)
Best Value: #8 Noble Drama 9-2
Next Best: #4 Diamond Oops 8-5
Exotics Use: #9 Math Wizard 3-1
Super Add: #6 Red Crescent 10-1

Letruska is OK.. 'Prefer other more' as they say..

G/L today Tom!

That race is tougher than it looks at first glance. Diamond Oops, Math Wizard, and Letruska all graded stakes winners but Math Wizard coming off a layoff and the Saffie connection and not sold on Letruska being able to compete with these horses. Pace looks like it could set up nicely for Noble Drama...but I keep coming back to Red Crescent who should improve in 2nd off the layoff and gets a jockey upgrade with Camacho taking the mount. Not sure if he’ll win but think he’s got to be included in all bets.

For Churchill 8, I sort of want to see how the turf is playing. Reenie D has pretty good early speed. I don’t think she’s good enough but maybe she throws the pace off and sets things up for Dixieincandyland, Even Beat, or your Best Value bet V J’s Bet. Either way, I think I’m betting against Hidden Facts there.

Anyway, good luck to Steve and all. It’s nice to see Churchill and Belmont both running.

casp0555 06-13-2020 11:49 AM

Latruska is a scratch

Kasept 06-13-2020 05:38 PM

$163,012 CHURCHILL P5 C/O SUNDAY


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:45 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.