Derby Trail Forums - 2/1: Aqueduct/Oaklawn (X-C P5); Gulfstream (P5); Santa Anita (P5)

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Sweetest Chant (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T/36' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Sunset Promise SCR
Next Best: #7 Moral Reasoning 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #3 She's My Type 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Moana's Tale 8-1 7th
SCR Add: #4 Cheermeister 10-1 WON ($17.20)

9th: Swale (G3), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Green Light Go 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Shivaree 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Untitled 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Mischievous Alex 7-2 WON ($11.80)

10th: Dania Beach, 3yo, 1m-T/96' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 South Bend 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Mayamanoi 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Famished 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Get Smokin 12-1 2nd

11th: Holy Bull (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Tiz the Law 3-5 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #4 Ete Indien 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Toledo 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Relentless Dancer 8-1 4th

12th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Hi-5)

As Mike Welsch discussed on ATR, real threat of weather in So. FL and this would be a race that quickly comes off the turf..

Most Likely: #16 State of War 5th
Next Best: #3 Kingsville 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Robintakincharge WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #4 Doctor Dub 8th

P5 Grid:

8: 2-3-7 (A), 4-5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 2-6 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
11: 3 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
12: 3-6-13 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 2-6-9 (A), 3-10 (B), 11 (C)
11: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
12: 3-6-13 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

AQUEDUCT/OAKLAWN X-C P5

POST-SCRATCHES

AQU 8th: Withers (G3), 3yo, 9f (X-C P5, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Shotski 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Monday Morning Qb 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Max Player 9-2 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Portos 3-1 3rd

AQU 9th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #5 O Shea Can U See 6-5 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #6 Rally Cap 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Javelin 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Readyheartandsoul 6-1 6th

OAKLAWN

OP 7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Principe Guilherme 7-2 7th
Next Best: #8 Curate 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #1 Bano Solo 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Fluminense 9-2 5th

OP 8th: American Beauty, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Amy's Challenge 2-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Irish Mischief 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Raintree Starlet 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Mt. Brave 7-2 3rd

OP 9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #8 Sigalert 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Tough Love 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Candy Cornell 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Royal Daaher 12-1 5th

P5 Grid:

AQU 7: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
AQU 8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
OP 7: 1-8-9-11 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
OP 8: 3 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
OP 9: 8-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x4x1x2 = 48 x .50 = 24

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Beat the Host spot play..

Most Likely: #4 QUICK (3-1): Sadler & Hronis introduce sharp-drilling 4yo UK-sourced filly eligible for condition due to smallish purse earned at Brighton. Gets benefit of Rosario.. 3rd
Next Best: #10 Thriving 5-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Posit 12-1 WON ($32.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Dearborn 6-1 6th

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Woke Up to Aces 6-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Moonhall Milly 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bristol Bayou 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Shines Her Light 5-1 WON ($28.00)

6th: Bob Lewis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Thousand Words 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Tizamagician 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Royal Act 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 High Velocity 3-1 3rd

7th: San Marcos (G2), 4+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 United 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #5 Brown Storm 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cleopatra's Storm 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Oscar Dominguez 5-2 3rd

8th: San Pasqual (G2), 4+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Roadster 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Midcourt 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #4 King Abner 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Bold Endeavor 30-1 9th

9th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Peter's Kitten 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Bodhicitta 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Out of Balance 4-1 -
Super Add: #1 Courteous 5-1 5th

P5 Grid:

5: 1-3-9 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
6: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
7: 4 (A), 5 (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-9 (A), - (B), 1-2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (8/2/4,6/5/5) Paid $323.85

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
7: 4-5 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/4,6/5/5) Paid $26.55 (A-A-A-A)