Derby Trail Forums - 7/21: Saratoga (CCA Oaks; Shuvee; Caress)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Markhan 8-5 Clipped heels; Jogged home
Next Best: #7 Whitman's Poetry 3-1 DNF (Lost rider)
Exotics Use: #8 Cite 6-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #3 Repeat Repeat 8-1 2nd

2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Business Cycle SCR
Next Best: #3 Brush County 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Somebody 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Heyitsnricopalazo 12-1 6th

3rd: MCLM/$65k, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 On a Spree 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Skywriting 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Heirloom Kitten 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Foti 10-1 6th

4th: Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Guarana 2-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #5 Point of Honor 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Champagne Anyone 4-1 4th

5th: MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

One of those fascinating summer MSW's where some serious horseflesh has yet to graduate for any number of reasons. (NOTE: 5yo (#1) Fireball Shot (12-1) not in the tabs because he refuses to win, but vertical plays need to include him considering his penchant for placements)..

Most Likely: #7 Spice Road 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Scars Are Cool 6-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #6 Majority Rules 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Ranger Up 6-1 5th

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Yeesh.. No result will surprise..

Best Value: #6 Mamma Dee 6-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Art Buff 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Galadriel's Light 12-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Roses from Ben 30-1 10th

P5 Grid:

2: 3 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 6-7-8 (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
6: 1-4-6-9-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x5x5 = 125 x .50 = $62.50
All A's: 1x2x1x5x4 = 40 x .40 = $20

P4 Grid:

3: 1-2 (A), 6-7-8 (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
6: 1-4-6-9-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x5x5 = 125 x .50 = $62.50
All A's: 2x1x5x5 = 50 x .40 = $25

.50Pick Four (8-1-4-1) Paid $107.12

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sharing 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Sequin 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Queen of Shades 8-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Meritaten 9-2 7th

8th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Basin 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #7 Mr Thrifty 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Three Technique 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Yankee Empire 6-1 6th

P4 Grid:

5: 4-6-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-3 (C)
6: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-10-12 (C)
7: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Halladay 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Variant Perception 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Rapt 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Lonhtwist 15-1 9th

10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Borracho 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #9 Majestic Affair 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Identity Politics 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Own Agenda 10-1 3rd

11th: Caress, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Morticia 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Broadway Run 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Significant Form 5-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Factorofwon 12-1 8th

12th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #2 Riendo 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Next Best: #8 Internet of Things 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Monaghan 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Not So Quiet Man 10-1 7th

13th: Shuvee (G3), F&M-3+, 9f

Best Value: #3 Golden Award 5-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #5 Wow Cat 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 She's a Julie 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Pink Sands 10-1 4th

P5 Grid:

9: 1-8 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-10 (C)
10: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)
11: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
13: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

10: 7-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)
11: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
13: 1-3-5 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve