Derby Trail Forums - 5/11: Belmont Park ($87k C/O; X-C P5)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Peter Pan (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Very nice set of 5 with three serious top choices in Intrepid Heart, Global Campaign and Final Jeopardy and two Derby Trail nibblers in Federal Case and Sir Winston..

Best Value: #5 Final Jeopardy 3-1: Poised for Derby points when Wood pile up quashed hopes.. 4th
Next Best: #1 Intrepid Heart 7-5: Carefully managed Pletcher Tapit has Belmont target.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Global Campaign 8-5: Hough hopeful could be loose up front.. WON ($6.00)

5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$87k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Tough start to P6 sequence..

Best Value: #5 Lundqvist 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Crypto Gold 5-1 WON-DQ'd to 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Rhode Island 6-5 6th
Super Add: #8 Shiloh Lane 30-1 8th

6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Felix in Fabula 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Seethisquick Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Have Another 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Lazarus Project 5-1 4th

7th: Beaugay (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Andina Del Sur 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Competitionofideas 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Homerique 9-5 WON ($3.60)

WOODBINE 8th: Ballade-R, 3+, 6f (X-C P5, P3, DD)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

Best Value: #9 Red Cabernet 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Summer Sonnet 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Silent Sonnet 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Scotty's Model 3-1 3rd

8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Challenging spot with 3 firsters and a number of 3yo season debuters. Shug cited Inspector Havers on ATR several months ago and as half to Inspector Lynley, has chance to excel on lawn. Motion returns Varenka to action and sibling of multiple Strawbridge black type runners came close v. division's best at 2..

Best Value: #8 Inspector Havers 12-1 11th
Next Best: #3 Varenka 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Structural Defecit 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Tip At Tapit 12-1 7th

MONMOUTH 10th: Serena's Song, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Forever Liesl 6-5 2nd-Up via DQ
Next Best: #3 Imply SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Breaking Bread 5-2 WON ($5.80)-Up via DQ

9th: Runhappy, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Killybegs Captain 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Recruiting Ready 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Skyler's Scramjet 2-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Firenze Fire 7-2 WON ($5.80)

10th: Man o'War (G1), 4+, 11f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #4 Arklow 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Zulu Alpha 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Focus Group 5-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Channel Maker 6-1 WON ($15.60)

X-C P5 Grid:

WO 8: 6-9 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
BEL 8: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
MTH 10: 6 (A), - (B), 3/SCR-5 (C)
BEL 9: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6 (C)
BEL 10: 2-4-6-8 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x3x1x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

BEL DBL P6 C/O Grid:

5: 5-10 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
6: 4 (A), - (B), 1-5/SCR (C)
7: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 2 (B), 3 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x3x3x2 = 108 x $2 = $216
All A's: 2x1x2x2x2x2 = 32 x $2 = $64

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), - (B), 1-5/SCR-7 (C)
7: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-T

Ooph. Deep, contentious finale..

Best Value: #10 Dove Shoot 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Elektronic 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Wicked Grin 7-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Noble Cause 10-1 DNF-Eased

P4 Grid:

8: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 5-7 (C)
11: 4-10 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve