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-   -   8/23: Saratoga (NY Turf Writers Cup; Riskaverse) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=64917)

Kasept 08-23-2018 07:36 AM

8/23: Saratoga (NY Turf Writers Cup; Riskaverse)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY Turf Writers Cup H. (NSA-G1), 4+, 19f-National Fences Course (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Iranistan 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Clarcam 2-1 6th
Best Value: #6 New Member 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Show Court 4-1 4th


2nd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Tigalu 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Miss Mimosa 7-5 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #3 War Value 5-2 5th


3rd: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 The Sicarii 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #6 Not That Brady 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Cadillac Frankie 8-5 6th
Super Add: #1 Handsome Chewy 8-1 3rd


4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Hogan's Holiday 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Rosebud's Hope 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Theodosia 8-5 5th
Super Add: #8 Pure Magic 8-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Good Wheels 4-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Graded On a Curve 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Coach Villa 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Dashing Dan 10-1 WON ($23.80)


6th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Our Honor 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Construct 6-1 5th
Exotic Use: #5 Expert 4-1 WON ($16.40)
Super Add: #4 Royal Edition 5-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

2: 1-2-3 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
3: 2-6 (A), 3 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
4: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), 1-7-8 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), 9-11 (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), 1-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x4x1 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

3: 2-3-6 (A), 1-5-7 (B), - (C)
4: 2-3-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), 9-11 (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), 1-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x4x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Dubb entry 6-5 2nd/4th
Best Value: #4 Souper Echo 8-1 5th-(4th for Wagering)
Next Best: #6 Dream Passage 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #9 Angel Food 15-1 3rd


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Go Big Or Go Home 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Bronze Age 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Shanghai Schwartz 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #3 Carmine's Honor 12-1 3rd


9th: Riskaverse-R, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Best Value: #5 Monte Crista 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #9 Goodthingstaketime 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Tapit Today 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Punked 8-1 4th


10th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Identity Politics 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Point of Humor 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Siena Magic 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Fixed Point 15-1 WON ($27.60)


Good luck!
Steve

Bfarris21 08-23-2018 08:25 PM

Great job today Steve!!

jms62 08-23-2018 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bfarris21 (Post 1115429)
Great job today Steve!!

If your pick is not in Steves top 4 it usually is you not him that is wrong.

Kasept 08-24-2018 06:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bfarris21 (Post 1115429)
Great job today Steve!!

THX.. Sorry to run out of time for late multi plays. Hope everyone did OK and crafted some nice tix.

Kasept 08-24-2018 06:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1115430)
If your pick is not in Steves top 4 it usually is you not him that is wrong.

Thanks Jim.. Been finding the winners. Tying them together up/down or across still key!


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