Derby Trail Forums - 8/17: Saratoga (Saratoga Dew; Skidmore) ~ 1st, 4th, 6th OFF THE TURF

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky group.. (And even more intriguing coming off the turf)..

Most Likely: #3 Mesotherm 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #6 Hubbadahubbadaboom 7-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Shamrocked 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 La Maquina Gris 6-1 2nd

2nd: Saratoga Dew-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Honoring the first New York bred Eclipse winner, trained by Gary Sciacca, owned by Charlie Engel & ridden regularly by Herb McCauley. Verdant Pastures can wire this..

Best Value: #3 Verdant Pastures 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Land Mine 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Frostie Anne 7-5 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #4 Frosty Margarita 4th

3rd: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Giant Boo Boo 4-5 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #3 Shuffling Madness 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Wheresthebarber 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Ziller 30-1 6th

4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Hint of turf pedigree in Diamond Jen Brady and Leparoux is very effective on the front end when he gets the chance. Sneaky in here with very little other speed signed on..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridledadventure WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Woundwithhereyes 4th

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Steam Engine 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 The Grand Canal 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Kaden's Courage 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Cozzy's Posse 8-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
2: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
5: 6-9 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x3x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2 (A), 5 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 6-5-9 (A), 1-3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

FYI.. Transcription error in 5th race of #5 (for #4) allows for P4 to cash ($57), but hadn't used the winner..

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Scorpion Bowl 4th
Next Best: #1x (POE) Pauseforthecause WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Silencia 7th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Bad ML on Sweet Bye and Bye (10-1) who will get bet down..

Best Value: #2 Sweet Bye and Bye 10-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #8 Palladian Bridge 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Dancing All Night 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Cilantro 4-1 4th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Macagone 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Catch a Cab 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Royal Blessing 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Yummy Bear 6-1 5th

9th: Skidmore, 2yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #12 Sir Truebadour 5-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Chase Greatness 12-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Gins and Tins 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Yes and Yes 8-1 8th

10th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f

Mosy Likely: #1 American Rule 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Metaphorical 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Via Castagna 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 The Chamo 8-1 WON ($10.40)

P5 Grid:

6: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 5-14 (C)
7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-9-10 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-9 (C)
9: 11-12 (A), 1-3 (B), 8-9 (C)
10: 1 (A), 3 (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-9-10 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-9 (C)
9: 11-12 (A), 1-3 (B), 8-9 (C)
10: 1-3-9 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve