Derby Trail Forums - 8/15: Saratoga (Day 23; Bolton Landing)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Looking for the frog(s) with least warts and it ain't easy.. Bad bunch o' coconuts..

Most Likely: #2 Quick On the Draw 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Terrasole 9-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Cool as You Like 6-5 WON ($5.10)

2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair look imposing. Schettino debuts Miss Flambe whose dam Peach Flambe was talented..

Most Likely: #6 Elegant Zip 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #3 Tossup 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Miss Flambe 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mimic 5-1 6th

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Great Reviews 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 No Need to Appeal 2-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Breaking Bread 7-2 2nd

4th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bowl of Kisses 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Avery Maeve 8-5 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #1 Texas Music 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Banty's Girl 3-1 2nd

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Weaker of the 2 divisions and very little to go on except pedigree, worktab & trainer juvy numbers. Watch board for clues..

Best Value: #8 Shesasuperfreak 12-1 WON ($27.20)
Next Best: #4 D's Sis 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Don't Tell Addie 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Nova Girl 10-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 1-4-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
4: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
5: 4-7-8-9 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x1x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (3,4,5/6,7/2/3,4,5,7/8) Paid $567.25 (A-A-C-A-A ~ $188 Play)

P4 Grid:

2: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
5: 4-7-8 (A), 1-2-9 (B), 3-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6,7/2/3,4,5,7/8) Paid $198.00

6th:CLM, 3+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Imperatore 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Marriage Fever 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tapin Mojo 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Turco Bravo 3-1 WON ($7.10)

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Charreada 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Civil Union 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Desert Isle 8-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Peter's Kitten 7-2 2nd

8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Good group punctuated with some serious class droppers..

Most Likely: #2 Still Krz 7-2 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #3 Happy Farm 6-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Spartiatis 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Morning Buzz 5-1 6th

9th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Chelsea Cloisters 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Elsa 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Drynachan 3-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Stillwater Cove 8-1 WON ($22.40)

10th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #10 Overnight Success 4-1 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #4 Clyde's Runner 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 King Orb 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Proximate to Power 15-1 7th

P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
7: 7-8 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-10 (A), 4-7-8 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
10: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 7-8 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-10 (A), 4-7-8 (B), 1-5-6-9 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
10: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve