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-   -   8/4: Saratoga (Whitney/Test) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=64798)

Kasept 08-04-2018 07:43 AM

8/4: Saratoga (Whitney/Test)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Exulting 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #10 St. Louie Guy 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a Rocky Tough 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Souper Tapit 3-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Brittas Bay 10-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Social Paranoia 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Casa Creed 8-1 WON ($15.60)
Super Add: #1 Spirit Animal 7-2 4th


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Clement off to slow meet start (9/0-1-0), but in dropping #9 Preternatural (7-2) from MSW to MCLM and turning him back, he finds combo angle boasting 10/5-1-2 mark for $3.79 ROI..

Most Likely: #9 Preternatural 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Toga 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Cuarenta 5-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Our American Star 5-1 2nd


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Call Me a Star 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1a The Caretaker 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #3 A True Giant 8-1 6th


5th: De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Pas de Soucis 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Precieuse 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 On Leave 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Uni 5-2 WON ($7.20)


P5 Grid:

1: 10-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C)
2: 2-3-11 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
3: 9 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
5: 1-4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x1x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x1x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

2: 2-3-11 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
3: 2-9 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
5: 1-4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x4 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

There's MAJOR talent in this group of lightly/unraced older MDN's. Should be a corker..

Most Likely: #5 Business Cycle 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Illudere 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Point of Humor 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Hersh 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Super Add: #3 Dark N Cloudy 6-1 5th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Mucho 12-1 WON ($6.70)
Next Best: #9 Fabulous Fun 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Fullness of Time 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Justice of War 7-2 3rd


8th: Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Separationofpowers 7-2 ($6.60)
Next Best: #7 Mia Mischief 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Minit to Stardom 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Classy Act 7-2 7th


9th: Whitney (G1), 3+, 9f

Group was made more intriguing with addition of Diversify who just may be in the zone right now, making 4th start without interruption for first time in career..

Most Likely: #6 Diversify 7-5 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #2 Backyard Heaven 9-2 7th
Next Best: #4 Mind Your Biscuits 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Tapwrit 6-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 5-8 (A), 1-2-3-4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-6-9 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 6-7-8 (A), 3-4-9 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/5,6,8/5,6/6) Paid $213.75


Good luck!
Steve

Benny 08-04-2018 09:20 AM

Thanks for the heads up so early ! :)

Alabama Stakes 08-04-2018 09:58 AM

Late pick 4 cancelled too. Also NYRA bets pick 5 cancelled

For anyone who wants to learn how to clock feet and win in the mud, I will be watching them go on the racetrack near the channel 10 set. If you see shiny silver nikes... that's me

Kasept 08-04-2018 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benny (Post 1114280)
Thanks for the heads up so early ! :)

My pleasure..

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 08-04-2018 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1114286)
Late pick 4 cancelled too.

While 8th-11th "Late" P4 cancelled, note there was an additional P4 today on the 6th-9th.. so essentially that is the late P4.

Alabama Stakes 08-04-2018 11:03 AM

Duly noted

tanner12oz 08-04-2018 11:04 AM

any insight on the wv derby steve? looks like a decent betting affair

Kasept 08-04-2018 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 1114297)
any insight on the wv derby steve? looks like a decent betting affair

Agree.. especially if you want to stand against the Los Al Derby horses.

Lionite (6-1) reunites with Cabrera who could set up shop for an inside stalking trip behind the speed, the same kind voyage that won the pair the PrM Mile..

Good luck!

MNR 8th (5:35p ET): 49th West Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f

Most Likely: #1 Lionite 6-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Rugbyman 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Mr. Freeze 9-2 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #9 High North 4-1 3rd

knickslions2 08-04-2018 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 1114297)
any insight on the wv derby steve? looks like a decent betting affair

$4 tri

2/1,4,5/1,4,5

pb72vett 08-04-2018 01:03 PM

Pb72vett winner
 
Mr King B has it right.need jock that knows how to ride that track.middle to outside great inside tuff.:{>::$::$::$:

NavalOrange 08-04-2018 03:42 PM

Why was Mucho 12-1 on the morning line????

atolunch 08-04-2018 07:27 PM

Great job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always!!:tro::$:

Kasept 08-05-2018 05:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch (Post 1114356)
Great job today Steve!

Congrats and thanks as always!!:tro::$:

Thanks Larry.. Hope everyone did well on the rather unusual day.

Kasept 08-05-2018 05:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NavalOrange (Post 1114339)
Why was Mucho 12-1 on the morning line????

Difficult to get every line perfect up here. Aragona has done a really nice job overall.

Casa Creed's win in the 2nd contributed to the the flood of money on Mucho.

Bogey 08-05-2018 06:48 AM

Steve, solid work

myke 08-05-2018 10:13 AM

Thanks Steve
 
the morning line of 12-1 on Mucho was a gift to us.

unbelievable payoff from a nine dollar, six dollar, six dollar and five dollar horses pick 4 payoff 213...

thanks Steve

Kasept 08-05-2018 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by myke (Post 1114366)
the morning line of 12-1 on Mucho was a gift to us.

unbelievable payoff from a nine dollar, six dollar, six dollar and five dollar horses pick 4 payoff 213...

thanks Steve

:tro:

90 Beyer

Kasept 08-05-2018 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 1114361)
Steve, solid work

THX Gus! G/L today..


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