Derby Trail Forums - Saratoga Jockey with most $20 and up Wins

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)

- Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)

- - Saratoga Jockey with most $20 and up Wins (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=64707)

Saratoga Jockey with most $20 and up Wins

Prediction

Manny Franco

I'll take Luis Saez since it doesn't look like Cohen will get a license to ride :rolleyes:

I’ll throw a different name out and say Jose Lezcano.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1112999)

Dylan Davis

He almost stole one already

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1113029)

He almost stole one already

He really impressed me this spring. The fact that he has 5 mounts on opening day makes me think that he's going to get opportunity in what is a very deep room.

Junior Alvarado.....easily.

After Week 1

Code:

Jul-01-2018 to Sep-01-2018

Saratoga          

3

 

1 Geroux Florent

   7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion     Miller Darrin $56.50

1 Lezcano Jose

   7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel     Sharp Joe     $21.40

1 Ortiz Jose L.

   7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40

After 40 races at Saratoga, some interesting numbers : Only 6 winners have paid $5.00 or less and as posted above, only 3 winnners at 9-1 or greater. 14 winners have paid between $5.00 and $10.00 with 17 winners in the $10.00 to $20.00 range.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 1112999)

Dylan Davis

Same choice here based on talent, but after four days and 1-for-19, I need to see if he has been on very many live mounts. Kendric Carmouche is also an option if the track turns speed favoring later in the meet.

With Joe Bravo (2 wins) and Ricardo Santana (3 wins) picking up mounts, jockeys like Dylan Davis are getting squeezed for quality rides.

By the way, Indigo Yankee should have been 30-1 against that field on Monday and was one of Jose Ortiz's three wins in his first 26 mounts. (He is only 7-for-26 in the money in the first four days!)

Ricardo Santana Jr.

I know he's starting to get a ton of live ones, but he still rides prices home.

-bt-

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 1113481)

Ricardo Santana Jr.

I know he's starting to get a ton of live ones, but he still rides prices home.

-bt-

My only problem with Santana is that he always loses when I bet him and always wins when I bet against him.

After Week 2
(No Hurdles)

Code:

Saratoga

9



1 Cancel Eric

7/29/2018  7   7    Fast Dirt  NW1 8-Uno Mas Modelo Quartarolo Anthon $33.20



1 Carmouche Kendrick

7/25/2018 5    5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs 5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard $20.80



1 Davis Dylan

7/29/2018 6    8.5 Turf NW1 4-Prioritize Bond H. James $27.60



1 Geroux Florent

7/23/2018 7    5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin $56.50



1 Hill Channing

7/29/2018 9    9 Fast Dirt GR3 7-Farrell Catalano Wayne M. $20.20



1 Lezcano Jose

7/20/2018 10   8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe $21.40

 

1 Ortiz Jose L.

7/23/2018 8     9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40



1 Rosario Joel

7/29/2018 5      5.5 Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I. $28.40



1 Saez Luis

7/26/2018 9      6.5 Wet Dirt STKs 8-Weekend Hideaway Serpe Philip M. $23.40

Hard to believe that we are 10 days (25%!) through the meeting and only 9 $20+ horses have clicked. Feels low, but the $10-$20 range has remained active.

Great to see Luis Saez at the top of the wins board - his aggressive riding style has been paying off against the clutch-and-grab set. The turf sprint win in the Coronation Cup on Monday was an excellent example. Also, have been very impressed with how well Ricardo Santana Jr. has been riding.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ScottJ (Post 1114056)

50 was my O/U and we are tracking slightly below.

Through Week 3

Code:

 

 Jul-01-2018 to Sep-01-2018

Saratoga              

14 



     Date     Race/Dist/Sur/Class        Horse                      Trainer 

1 Alvarado Junior

  8/5/2018 10 9 Fast Dirt STK         1-Realm         Tagg Barclay                 $27.20

1 Cancel Eric

  7/29/2018 7 7 Fast Dirt NW1         8-Uno Mas Modelo  Quartarolo Anthon         $33.20

2 Carmouche Kendrick

  8/5/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt C20         5-Fleet Irish         Falcone, Jr. Robert         $24.40

  7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs          5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard $20.80

1 Davis Dylan

  7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf NW1         4-Prioritize         Bond H. James                 $27.60

1 Geroux Florent

  7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK         8-Ruby Notion         Miller Darrin                 $56.50

1 Hill Channing

  7/29/2018 9 9 Fast Dirt GR3         7-Farrell         Catalano Wayne M         $20.20

1 Lezcano Jose

  7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40        6-Cape Angel         Sharp Joe                 $21.40

1 Ortiz Jose L.

  7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR      8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R.         $21.40

1 Ortiz, Jr. Irad

  8/6/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt MSWs    1-Bustin to Be Loved Contessa Gary C.         $40.20

2 Rosario Joel

  8/1/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSW     3-Catoria         Dini Michael                 $49.80

  7/29/2018 5 5.5 Turf MSW       8-Length         Mott William I.         $28.40

1 Saez Luis 

  7/26/2018 6.5 Wet Dirt STKs    8-Hideaway         Serpe Philip M.                $23.40

1 Velazquez John R.

  8/6/2018 8 5.5 Turf NW2s       10-Eloweasel         Donk David G.                 $20.80

still kicking my ass over Fleet Irish

Still have a shot at 50

Code:

Jul-01-2018 to Sep-01-2018 

Saratoga  

18  

          Race Dist Surface Class  Horse    Trainer          Paid  

1 Alvarado Junior  

  8/5/2018 10 9   Fast Dirt  STK  1-Realm  Tagg Barclay  $27.20  



1 Cancel Eric  

  7/29/2018 7 7   Fast Dirt  NW1  8-Uno Mas Modelo  Quartarolo Anthon  $33.20  



3 Carmouche Kendrick  

  8/13/2018 1 5.5 Fast Dirt  M50  2-Silver Wings Reven  Antonucci Jena $25.40  

  8/5/2018  4 7   Wet Dirt  C20  5-Fleet Irish  Falcone, Jr. Robert  $24.40  

  7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt  MSWs  5-Collegeville Girl  Vega Richard  $20.80  



1 Cohen David  

  8/11/2018 4 7   Wet Dirt  MSW  7-Cairo Cat  McPeek Kenneth G  $38.20  



1 Davis Dylan  

  7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf  NW1  4-Prioritize  Bond H. James  $27.60  



1 Franco Manuel  

  8/10/2018 10 5.5 Turf  MSWs  3-Veterans Beach  Donk David G.  $20.60  



1 Geroux Florent  

  7/23/2018 7 5.5  Turf  STK  8-Ruby Notion  Miller Darrin  $56.50  



1 Hill Channing  

  7/29/2018 9 9    Fast Dirt  GR3  7-Farrell  Catalano Wayne M  $20.20  



1 Lezcano Jose  

  7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf  C40  6-Cape Angel  Sharp Joe  $21.40  



1 Ortiz Jose L.  

  7/23/2018 8 9    Wet Dirt  STR  8-Indigo Yankee  Wilkes Ian R.  $21.40  



1 Ortiz, Jr. Irad  

  8/6/2018 6 6     Fast Dirt MSWs 1-Bustin to Be Loved Contessa Gary C. $40.20 



3 Rosario Joel 

  8/8/2018 6 6            Fast Dirt NW2s 1-Tiznow's Smile Baker Charlton $42.60 

  8/1/2018 5 6            Fast Dirt MSW 3-Catoria Dini Michael $49.80 

  7/29/2018 5 5.5  Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I. $28.40 



1 Saez Luis 

  7/26/2018 9 6.5   Wet Dirt STKs 8-Weekend Hideaway Serpe Philip M. $23.40 



1 Velazquez John R. 

  8/6/2018 8 5.5    Turf NW2s 10-Eloweasel Donk David G. $20.80

Week 5

Saratoga

28

Code:

                              Dist Surface Class Horse  Trainer                Paid

1 Alvarado Junior

8/5/2018 10 9 Fast Dirt STK 1-Realm Tagg Barclay                        $27.20



2 Cancel Eric

8/15/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSWs 8-Shesasuperfreak Maymo Alejandro         $27.20

7/29/2018 7 7 Fast Dirt NW1 8-Uno Mas Modelo Quartarolo Anthon         $33.20



3 Carmouche Kendrick

8/13/2018 1 5.5 Fast Dirt M50 2-Silver Wings Reven Antonucci Jena M.         $25.40

8/5/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt C20 5-Fleet Irish Falcone, Jr. Robert                 $24.40

7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs 5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard                 $20.80



1 Cohen David

8/11/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt MSW 7-Cairo Cat McPeek Kenneth G                 $38.20



2 Davis Dylan

8/18/2018 5 6 Wet Dirt C40 1-Elizabeth Nicole Contessa Gary C.                 $42.60

7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf NW1 4-Prioritize Bond H. James                         $27.60



2 Franco Manuel

8/19/2018 3 5.5 Turf MSW 10-Tap Tap Taparoo Toner James J.                 $21.60

8/10/2018 10 5.5 Turf MSWs 3-Veterans Beach Donk David G.                 $20.60



1 Geroux Florent

7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin                         $56.50



1 Hill Channing

7/29/2018 9 9 Fast Dirt GR3 7-Farrell Catalano Wayne M                         $20.20



3 Lezcano Jose

8/20/2018 4 5.5 Turf MSW 2-Concrete Rose Arnold, II George R                 $26.40

8/19/2018 10        6 Fast Dirt C25 9- Blinded Vision Toscano, Jr. John T.         $31.40

7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe                         $21.40



1 Maragh Romero Ramsay

8/20/2018 9 9 Turf M40s 7-Won't Be Missed Ferraro James W.                $98.00



2 Ortiz Jose L.

8/19/2018 8 7 Fast Dirt CLF 6-Petrov Moquett Ron                         $21.40

7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R.                 $21.40



3 Ortiz, Jr. Irad

8/16/2018 1 6.5 Fast Dirt M40 2-Seauxtale Moquett Ron                         $24.80

8/15/2018 9 5.5 Turf STK 8-Stillwater Cove Ward Wesley A.                 $22.40

8/6/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt MSWs 1-Bustin to Be Loved Contessa Gary C.         $40.20



3 Rosario Joel

8/8/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt NW2s 1-Tiznow's Smile Baker Charlton                 $42.60

8/1/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSW 3-Catoria Dini Michael                         $49.80

7/29/2018 5 5.5 Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I.                         $28.40



1 Saez Luis

7/26/2018 9 6.5 Wet Dirt STKs 8-Weekend Hideaway Serpe Philip M.         $23.40



1 Santana, Jr. Ricardo

8/20/2018 2 6 Fast Dirt M25s 5-Third Card Down Baker Charlton                 $32.20



1 Velazquez John R.

8/6/2018 8 5.5 Turf NW2s 10-Eloweasel Donk David G.                         $20.80

Tells me when to bet not who

With the three leaders being Carmouche, Ortiz, and Lezcano you know they are very good and professional, you are going to get a good ride on them and the true stat would be the return on investment when they have a $20.00 horse.
Of course, you would have to factor in multiple entries that are running under the same conditions I.E. two more horses that will pay $20.00 or more with one of the other two riders aboard :D :$: