Derby Trail Forums - 7/14: Delaware/Belmont P4 (Kent/ALW/DelCap/Forbidden Apple)

DELAWARE/BELMONT X-C PICK 4

POST-SCRATCHES

DEL 8th: Kent (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DEL/BEL P4, P3, DD)

No need-the-lead types here, so expect Golden Brown and likely Carrick on top with blinkered Way Early stalking outside..

Best Value: #2 Hot Springs 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Untamed Domain 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Way Early 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Duc de Calas 8-1 8th

BEL 8th: Opt CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Epping Forest 2-1 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #1 Malibu Stacy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Boos 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Jc's Shooting Star 5-2 3rd

DEL 9th: Delaware H. (G2), F&M-3+, 10f (DD)

Big ask of Elate to win at 10f off 253 day break. With Farrell out, Loooch's Proper Discretion sets the pace and imagine his Nikki My Darling uses her as a target. Teresa Z should get a ground-saving trip inside and is bred top and bottom to love the classic distance. Unbridled Mo has been much more successful around 2 turns than one. Gauging Mopotism not an easy task. Good DelCap that will help race get back to G1 status..

Best Value: #1 Teresa Z 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Elate 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled Mo 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Mopotism 9-2 6th

BEL 9th: Forbidden Apple, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Mr Havercamp 8-1 -
Next Best: #2 Disco Partner 9-5 -
Exotics Use: #6 Pocket Change 6-1 -
Super Add: #5 Blind Ambition 8-1 -

P4 Grid:

DEL 8: 2-5-9 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
BEL 8: 1-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)
DEL 9: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
BEL 9: 1-2 (A), 5-6 (B), 3-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve