Derby Trail Forums - 1/20: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Santa Anita (5th-9th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Forge 5-2 WON ($5.10/5th)
Next Best: #8 Holland Road 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Fuel the Bern 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Scarf It Down 3-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Significant trainer switches at play here and first Gargan Cinderella (10-1) SCR'D gets 7#'s and outside stalking trip v. Hammerin Aamer (2-1)..

Most Likely: #6 Hammerin Aamer 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Admiral Blue 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Speith 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #1 Mr. Buff 5-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

Linda Rice has moved Polar Jet up considerably and repeat of last pair makes him a player v. By the Moon sibling Wonderful Light..

Best Value: #5 Polar Jet 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Wonderful Light 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Westwood 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #4 War of Ideas 7-2 7th

9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #5 Valyrian 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #4 Adirondack Dream 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Son of Mine 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gun for Hire 10-1 7th

P4 Grid:

6: 1-4-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-7 (C)
7: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 3x3x2x1 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,5/2/2/5) Paid $129.25 (A-A-C-A)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Expect some claim action here as these are OK horses for $20k..

Best Value: #2 Williston Dude 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Seau 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Dominant Don 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Super Add: #3 Is Trevor Clever 5-2 2nd

6th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Tinabud 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #5 Sauce On Side 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Winsinfashion 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Phyllis 4-1 3rd

7th: 44th Las Cienagas (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Feels very wide open with surface switches, stretchouts, cutbacks, newcomers to the hill..

Best Value: #6 Anita Partner 6-1 6th
Next Best Value: #2 Bendable 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Instant Reflex 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Coniah 4-1 WON ($6.40)

8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Gosofar 2-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Oopper Wallah 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Rocky's Show 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Informality 6-1 2nd

9th: OC/C, 4+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Harbour Master 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Anatolian Heat 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Semper Fortis 8-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Tribal Fighter 4-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Eric the Trojan 6-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 7 (C)
6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
7: 2-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-6-7 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
7: 1-2-6-8 (A), 3-4-9 (B), 5/SCR-7 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-6-7 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 2-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x7x1x5 = 105 x .50 = $52.50
All A's: 3x4x1x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve