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-   -   12/17: Los Alamitos ($79k Closing Day C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63593)

Kasept 12-17-2017 07:46 AM

12/17: Los Alamitos ($79k Closing Day C/O)
 
LOS ALAMITOS ~ CLOSING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$79,379 'MUST PAY' C/O STARTS HERE..

Most Likely: #5 Stormin Monarcho 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Hot Sean 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 The Lieutenant 7-2 WON ($7.00)


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Serious looking group with FTS's from Baffert & Dorf debuters and All Out Blitz & Concur making 3rd tries after finding tough nuts..

Best Value: #5 All Out Blitz 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #2 Montmartre 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Restoring Hope 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Concur 5-2 4th


7th: CLM/N2X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Flash Henry, 2/2 on the Cypress strip, stretches out for Puype (8/4-0-0 at stand) and may prove tough to catch..

Best Value: #4 Flash Henry 4-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Gentrified 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 American League 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Lindante 9-2 WON ($12.20)


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Difficult group..

Best Value: #7 Troublesome 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Dangerously Close 5-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Royal Astronomer 12-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Yalisha 9-2 5th


9th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tasunke Wilco 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #5 Mon Mousse 5-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Seeking the West 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Hot Perfection 10-1 3rd


10th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Southern Thunder 9-2 WON ($13.80)
Best Value: #7 Downside Up 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Mr. Matlock 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Is Trevor Clever 3-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #4 Haylord 15-1 4th

$1 Exacta (2-7) Paid $76.40
$1 Trifecta (2-7-8) Paid $444.70
$1 Superfecta (2-7-8-4) Paid $2,676.80
$1 Exact 5 (2-7-8-4-10) Paid $30,176.00



P6 P5 Grid:

5: 5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 7 (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 4-5 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 8 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), 1-4-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A's: 1x2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x $2 = $48

$2 Pick-6 (6/5/6/5/8/2) Paid $381.00 (5 OF 6) x 2 = $762.00


P4 Grid:

7: 4-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), 1-4-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/5/8/2) Paid $301.75


Good luck!
Steve

herkhorse 12-17-2017 06:35 PM

great job Steve! Congrats!

Max Caidy 12-17-2017 06:36 PM

Great job Steve!

Kasept 12-17-2017 07:18 PM

Tom.. Max..

Thanks. Certainly nice enough but left a pile on the table. Hope everyone did well!

knickslions2 12-17-2017 08:20 PM

Well done Steve

jms62 12-18-2017 05:40 AM

Nice hit Steve

Bogey 12-18-2017 06:42 AM

Great work, Steve - You show up on closing day to clean up. :tro::$:

kingsize14u 12-18-2017 08:57 AM

As always Steve, nice work. I'm just wondering what the ticket structure of the exact 5 looked like. Congrats again and thanks for all of your unselfish efforts day in and day out.

dpkovalesky 12-18-2017 11:18 AM

Wow beautiful score Steve!:tro::$:

Kasept 12-18-2017 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1103515)
Well done Steve

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1103527)
Nice hit Steve

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 1103528)
Great work, Steve - You show up on closing day to clean up. :tro::$:

Tom, Jim, Gus.. THX guys!

Kasept 12-18-2017 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingsize14u (Post 1103530)
As always Steve, nice work. I'm just wondering what the ticket structure of the exact 5 looked like. Congrats again and thanks for all of your unselfish efforts day in and day out.

Thanks! Didn't play the Hi-5, just showing the payoff with the top pair keying it over the next 3. Hi-5 was a pot scoop. Talked with Johnny D today about how overlooked it was on a payout day. I was zeroed in on the must pay P6 and didn't think about the Hi-5 until I saw the result.

I hit a P5 early on when it was introduced for $1,300 and have only played it a handful of times since. I barely play superfectas let alone a Hi-5, but the generally voiced strategy is approaching it as a combined Tri & Exacta, building tickets with a tri box (or key) with an exacta box. (4x3x2)x(3x2) = $144 or (1x3x2)x(4x3) = $72.

Kasept 12-18-2017 12:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dpkovalesky (Post 1103535)
Wow beautiful score Steve!:tro::$:

Dan.. THX! Nice day but leaving $30k in P6 out there was frustrating.

saratogadew 12-18-2017 01:08 PM

Great job Steve. You were in the zone!!!


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