Derby Trail Forums - 11/29: Aqueduct ($88k DBL C/O)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P6, P3, DD)

$88k 2-day C/O starts here..

Tricky sequence with some pace edge runners ~ including Driven by Speed in this Leg A ~ forcing hard decisions..

Most Likely: #6 Tizzelle 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #8 Bonita Springs 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Driven by Speed 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Broken Border 5-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Some class droppers and surface switchers add intrigue. Event looks to have an honest pace with bug boy winging on Tony Dutrow's Tiz Super..

Most Likely: #5 Curiousncuriouser 7-2 ($7.00)
Best Value: #6 Maddy's Way 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tiz Super 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Very Fashionable 6-1 5th

6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tisbury 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #3 Madame Uno 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Indygita 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Frosty Lady 7-2 3rd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Gift Box 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Alex the Terror 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #5 Shalako 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Extinct Charm 20-1 4th

8th: NY Stallion Series, 3+, 7f (DD)

One of the pace question races with Loki's Vengeance seemingly loose up front with Jose Ortiz..

Most Likely: #7 Loki's Vengeance 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Nobody Move 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Gold for the King 5-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Becker's Galaxy 4-1 7th

9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer Turf

Most Likely: #3 Lulu's Pom Pom 2-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Cirque 4-1 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #7 Youth Gone Wild 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Town Fair 8-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 7-9-10 (C)
5: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), 11(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2x1x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 1x3x2x2x1x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

$2 Pick 6 (5/5/8/8/1/11) Paid $112.00 x 2 = $224.00 (A-A-A-A-C-C)

P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 1 (C)
7: 7-8 (A), 5 (B), 6 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-6-7 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/8/1/11) Paid $424.75 (A-A-C-A)

Good luck!
Steve