Derby Trail Forums - 8/23: Saratoga (Day 29; John's Call)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 New Member 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Moscato 3-1 WON ($8.50)
Exotics Use: #6 My Afleet 7-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Curve of Stones 30-1 DNF-Left course

2nd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Ouchy MGSW and Belmont runner-up Destin makes 2nd start of 4yo year here. Obviously can win, but runs v. several that are authentic and in form..

Best Value: #2 Seeking the Soul 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Destin 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Flashy Jewel 3-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Looks like a very live group with inside troika, 'other' Casse and Pletcher 2nd timer the key players..

Best Value: #6 Elusive Mischief 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Machismo 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Strike 7-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Mr. Cheerful 8-1 10th

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Pretty Enuff 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Frostie Anne 3-1 WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #3 Enduring Erin 7-5
Super Add: #5 Arewehavingfunyet 7-2 2nd

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Daddy's Home 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Consumerconfidence 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use #6 Spectrolite 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Super Add: #9 Baby Bear's Soup 4-1 2nd

6th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Maniacally complex group..

Most Likely: #5 Le Pin 7-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Business Expense 8-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #2b Hill entry 9-2 4th/8th
Exotics Use: #6 Oiseau de Guerre 5-2 5th

P5 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), 3 (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 6-10 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
6: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), 4-6-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

3: 6-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-7-9 (C)
4: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), 4-6-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Many here getting first chance to be effective at 9f. But who will be?

Most Likely: #6 Tapella 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Parade 5-1 WON ($14.80)
Best Value: #1 Brilliant Missy 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Heavenly Grace 10-1 9th

8th: John's Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Reknown 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Nessy 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 St. Louie 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Infinite Wisdom 2-1 WON ($6.60)

9th: NY-OC/N2X, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #3 Mr Harlan 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Nevisian Sky 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Voodoo Song 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #9 Zigarch 5-1 7th

10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6.5f

Best Value: #2 I Miss My Father 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Money Laundering 9-2 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Souper Colors 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Nut Nut 8-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

6: 5-10 (A), 2-6 (B), 9-11 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
9: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 8 (B), 3-7-11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 5 (10/5/2,3/6/4) Paid $1,906.25 (A-A-C-A-A)

P4 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
9: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 2-4-8 (A), 3-7-12 (B), 1-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/2,3/6/4) Paid $309.00 (A-C-A-A)

Good luck!
Steve