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-   -   SAT - Saratoga (R7-R11 PK5/PK4 BB & LL); Arlington (Early PK4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=62773)

Bogey 07-29-2017 06:29 AM

SAT - Saratoga (R7-R11 PK5/PK4 BB & LL); Arlington (Early PK4)
 
Saratoga



BEST BET : R4 - MSW 83k (Turf 5.5F)


#2 Ultimate D (8-1) - I fully expect for the son of Scat Daddy to take to the lawn for a barn that knows a thing or two with similar runners. He's shown enough speed in 1st two career starts to indicate that he'll be involved early. 2ND PLACE $4.80

LIVE LONGSHOT : R7 - Alw 85k/N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Affilieo (GB) (15-1) - Shows a long string of works for return for a barn that does well with long layoffs. Draws beautifully in a full field that's evenly matched. For these top connections to bring her back is a positive sign after she missed her entire 4yr old campaign. 3RD

Wagered $48.00 - Cashed $102.30 = $54.30

UPDATED : Wagered $56.00 - Cashed $107.10 = $51.10

R7 - Alw 85k/N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Affilieo (GB) (15-1) - LIVE LONGSHOT - Shows a long string of works for return for a barn that does well with long layoffs. Draws beautifully in a full field that's evenly matched. For these top connections to bring her back is a positive sign after she missed her entire 4yr old campaign. 3RD
#5 La Sola Ranger (12-1) - She's moving in the right direction and the slight cut back could be what the doctor ordered. Worth a long look.
#7 Mom's On Strike (6-1) - Stakes placed filly makes her 2017 bow and fits well with her stalking style. We won't get 50-1 today. 2ND
#8 Ack Naughty (5-2) - Consistent sort has a tendency to hang a bit, but she fires everytime. WON $5.40

R8 - G1 Alfred G. Vanderbit Handicap

#8 Limousine Liberal (3-1) - He's on a roll and J Ortiz will have the benefit of having the speed to his inside. 3RD
#4 A.P. Indian (5-2) - Defending champ ran into a buzz-saw last out and looks ready to be one of the division's best sprinters again.
#5 Bird Song (6-1) - If they get silly up front watch for this grey to mow them down late on the turn back. 4TH
#3 El Deal (7-2) - New barn has taking him to the next level and they usually keep them there for some time. Major speed player. WON $7.10

R9 - G2 Bowling Green (Turf 11F)

#7 Ascend (8-5) - That was a really strong effort in winning the G1 Manhattan (@27-1) and hard not to have him on top here. 4TH
#4 Sadler's Joy (3-1) - Has really come into his own this year as one of division's most consistent turf routers. Expecting another solid performance. 3RD
#6 Hello Don Julio (12-1) - Has gone through his conditions and looks ready to tackle Graded company. Should be within striking distance throughout.
#3 Closing Bell (8-1) - Continues improving for Mott and deserves a long look for all slots.

R10 - G2 Jim Dandy

#1 Always Dreaming (1-1) - Derby Champ has won off a break and is versatile enough to adjust to any pace scenario. 3RD
#2 Cloud Computing (6-5) - Preakness Champ will be keeping top choice in sight throughout as he'll try to run him down late.
#5 Good Samaritan (12-1) Wild shot tries the dirt for the 1st time and looks to come off the pace to catch a minor award. WON $19.20
#4 Pavel (6-1) - Connections confident enough to try G2 company in start number 2 off an impressive debut sprinting at SA. Looks to be the speed.

R11 - MSW 83k (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Wake Island (9-2) - Brown no stranger to having them fire off a break and this gal showed enough talent last year to earn top billing. 2ND
#1 Elude (20-1) - Gained some valuable experience during the winter in Florida and Saez should secure a nice inside trip.
#2 Durable Goods (3-1) - Despite outside draw in debut she finished with a burst of energy. Logical contender. WON $4.20
#8 Magical Sky (8-1) - Casse saw enough in debut at Gulfstream last month and decided to bring her up to challenge top company. 3RD

PK5 - 3 5 7 8 / 4 5 8 / 7 / 1 2 / 1 2 3 8 = $48 for $.50

PK4 - 3 4 5 8 /3 4 6 7 / 1 2 / 1 2 3 8 = $62 for $.50



Arlington Park


R1 - OC 18k/N1X

#1 Bill's Production (9-2) - Stalk and pounce trip.
#5 Judge N Ruler (8-1) - Took huge step up on 1st Poly trip.
#4 Black Angel (5-1) - Repeat effort puts her right there.
#3 Christian C (5-2) - Fires consistently. 3RD

R2 - OC 50k/N2X (Turf 8F)

#1 Strive (6-1) - Loves the Turf and will be fowardly placed. 4TH
#5 One Liz (2-1) - Obvious contender on drop. 2ND
#3 Queenofthepalace (NZ) (5-2) - Will need pace on the drop.
#6 Bonita Cat (9-2) - Consistent sort in the mix.

R3 - Clm 20k (Turf 8F)

#7 Dad Are We Here (7-2) - Barn lethal off the claim.
#2 Alpha Kitalpha (3-1) - Turf tries put him there. 2ND
#1 Stormy Pacific (9-2) - Should turf and offers value. WON $11.20
#4 Always Catch (4-1) - Underneath player. 3RD

R4 - Clm 10k N2L (Turf 8.5F)

#7 Reap (8-1) - Don't discount chances - 3rd off a break.
#3 Chicago Blues (3-1) - Top connections and defeated chalk in last.
#1 Kit Check (10-1) - In the mix on the drop. 3RD
#4 Hazza (10-1) - Must respect this barn at the meet. 2ND

PK4 - 1 3 4 5 / 1 5 / 2 7 / 1 3 4 5 9 11 = $48 for $.50

Good Racing Luck


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