Derby Trail Forums - Saratoga Monday July 24th

Tough beat at the wire in the early P4 yesterday but some consolation with the Tri in the nightcap...

Race 1:
#3 Thaddeus: Represents value here after being the beaten fav in a strong maiden race last out.
#6 Your Secret's Safe: I recall Chad having poor #s on this type of plunge on the turf, not sure about the dirt.
#7 Shoot the Gap
#9 Nicholas and Me

Race 2:
#3 Tiznoble
#15 Morning Buzz
#14 Taoiseach
#7 Husband's Folly

Race 3:
Really any of the 4 can win this, no point in picking them all...

Race 4:
#3 Sweetrayofsunshine: 50% clip on the dirt, never out of the ex on a wet track, and Santana was on fire yesterday.
#5 Jemmabelle: Loves a soupy track and last time was in against much tougher.
#1 Slam Chowder: Looks to be the fav based off one good race in 19 months.
#2 Champagne Ruby: Quite consistent, but was beaten 21 lengths when last trying a sloppy track.

Race 5:
#2 Covenant: Strong debut against winner who ran yesterday in CCA Oaks. Comes from a good family.
#8 A Change of Heart: Clement sneaky good with dirt debutantes at SAR.
#4 Gifted Lady: Comes from similar formline as the top choice.
#1 Tapella: Pletcher has a poor record with 3yo FTS at the Spa.

Race 6:
#9 Schianti: MTO likely to wire them.
#6 Princess Peggy: Ran away with debut on slop but only faced four foes and the final 1/8th was in 13 2/5.
#7 Tudox Lifting Off
#4 Sugar Queen

Race 7:
#2 Blue Prize
#6 Winner's Dream
#4 Josephine's Moment
#7 Fuhriously Kissed

Race 8:
#12 Fair Point
#9 Miss Ella
#2 Mississippi Delta
#5 Ruby Notion

Race 9:
#15 Rockin Jo: Dam did well at 2yo and has worked nicely for debut.
#1 Cross Multiply: Not the fastest sales work but strode out smoothly. Has 2yo pedigree on the bottom.
#8 Fox Strike: Has FL formlines from the dam side.
#7 My Mr. Wonderful
#2 is one to throw underneath at a price...#14 looks to be an underlay but also can't leave out especially underneath...

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 1: 3, 6
Race 2: 3, 15
Race 3: 2, 4, 5, 6
Race 4: 3, 5
Race 5: 2, 8
$38.40

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 3, 7, 14, 15
Race 3: 2, 4, 5, 6
Race 4: 1, 2, 3, 5
Race 5: 2, 8
$76.80

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 6: 9
Race 7: 2, 4, 6, 7
Race 8: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 10, 12
Race 9: 1, 7, 8, 14, 15
$84.00

Good luck!