Derby Trail Forums - 7/15: Delaware (4th-9th); Belmont (7th-11th)

DELAWARE PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the day's best Maiden races anywhere with a number of well bred 3yo fillies from top outfits..

Most Likely: #3 Proud Reunion 4-1: Brere Jones/Proctor miss o/o SW Silver Reunion adds Gaffalione.. WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 My Mo 10-1: Campbell homebred from Motion improved on lawn stretchout.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Sweet Strike 5-2: Clement debuter a half to nice Nereid.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Larkin 12-1: Stidham/Godolphin 2nd timer from productive family.. 7th

5th: OC/N2L, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Start of P4 that doesn't include DelCap..

Most Likely: #5 Cheese On 3-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #7 Whereshetoldmetogo 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Phonemyposseagain SCR
Exotics Use: #3 True Heir 10-1 7th

6th: Carl Hanford Memorial, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Adirondack King 2-1 4th
Next Best: #8 No Distortion 6-1 WON ($15.20)
Best Value: #3 Discreet Lover 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sea Raven 8-1 2nd

7th: Hockessin, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Never Gone South 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Eighty Three 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Always Sunshine 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Struth 8-1 WON ($10.60)

8th: 63rd Kent (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Lunaire 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Frostmourne 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Adonis Creed 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Master Plan 2-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

5: 5-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-6 (C)
6: 2-8 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 6-8 (B), 4 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x2 = 68 x .50 = $34
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (4,5/8/8/6,7) Paid $58.65

9th: 80th Delaware H. (G1), F&M-3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Songbird 1-5 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #2 Martini Glass 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Weep No More 6-1 4th

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-4-8 (A), 1-6-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 6-8 (B), 4 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x4x2x1 = $56 ($28 for .50)
All A's: 4x2x2x1 = $16 ($8 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/8/6,7/5,6) Paid $40.75

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #1 Bats Cleanup 3-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Risky Sour 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Danny's Rush 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Kierland 10-1 2nd

8th: 4th Forbidden Apple, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Offering Plan 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Grand Arch 5-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Disco Partner 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #10 King Kreesa 12-1 4th

9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mr.Pete 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #5 Panama Ed 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Collective Effort 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bad Guy 3-1 3rd

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD)

Best Value: #11 Lady Bergen 10-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Spring Folly 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Majestic Bloom 12-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Lover's Key 7-2 WON ($7.20)

11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #6 Hoboe 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Appealing Briefs 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Red Knight 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #3 You Like That 30-1 9th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-4-5-10 (A), - (B), 3-8-13 (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-9-10 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 9-11 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
11: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x1x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 9 (B), 1-10 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 9-11 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
11: 4-6-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 1-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve