Derby Trail Forums - 4/14: Keeneland (6th-10th)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Maiden affair includes 3yo and dirt debut of last product out of Hall of Famer Serena's Song, Gold Serenade (Medaglia d'Oro) from LoPresti. Showed little at 2 on turf and poly, but comes back as soph with Lasix and on surface she may prefer. Sentimental inclusion, but likely harboring some talent..

Most Likely: #5 Harkness 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Analyze 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Moana 9-5 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Gold Serenade 20-1 8th

7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Deep, terrific lawn test with a number of serious pedigrees involved including SW Gone Away making 4yo debut for Matz & Strawbridge. Out of sister of Bellamy Road, the Leroidesanimaux filly kept good company at 3 and upset the Hilltop at 14-1. Chad Brown has 1st/NA Antonoe for Juddmonte..

Most Likely: #11 Antonoe 4-1 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #8 Burma Road 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Gone Away 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Sweet Tapper 5-1 11th

$1 Exacta (11-8) Paid $16.10
$1 Trifecta (11-8-6) Paid $150.60

8th: ALW/N1X, P3, DD)

Odd assembly of modest talent with stretchouts, turnbacks, equipment adjustments and seasonal debuts. I don't like the looks of this..

Most Likely: #4 Big Red Rocket 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Promote 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Star Hill 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Lex Vegas 4-1 WON ($11.80)

9th: 29th Maker's 46 Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Fabulous lineup for this spring mile standard. Pace should be honest giving every style a chance. Blacktype should get ideal ground-saving trip inside while Western Reserve gets to draft in behind speed for up close stalk and go at big number..

Most Likely: #1 Blacktype 6-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Western Reserve 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Inspector Lynley 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Heart to Heart 3-1 2nd

10th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Burgameister 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Borsa Vento 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Mines Made Up 15-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Watch Me Whip 10-1 WON ($23.00)
Hi-5 Play: #2 Perfect Partner 7-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2 (C)
7: 11 (A), - (B), 3-6-7-8-12 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 1-8-9-11 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-12 (C)
10: 4-8-12 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x1x2x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 11 (A), 8 (B), 3-6-7-12 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 1-8-9-11 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-12 (C)
10: 4-8-12 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 1x2x4x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve