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-   -   3/11/17 - Tampa Bay Downs - Full Card (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=61940)

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 07:33 AM

3/11/17 - Tampa Bay Downs - Full Card
 
A glorious, sunny day in the low 80's has graced us for the 37th installment of the Tampa Bay Derby, which looks to be a wide open affair.

Pre-Scratches - picks are horizontal plays, picks in bold are must use/vertical opportunities. Good Luck!

Race 1) Clm 5000N2Y 1 1/16th Dirt
1. 1 Financial Freedom 5-2
2. 9 Better Man 12-1
3. 5 To The Stars 4-1

Race 2) Hcp 38500 Fillies 6 1/2F Dirt
1. 3 Spanish Concert 5-2
2. 5 My Mertie 5-1
3. 7 Little Cherie 4-1

Race 3) MSW 27000 6 1/2F Dirt
1. 5 Road Guard Post 5-1
2. 8 Mr. Dewey 9-2
3. 2 Blue Sky Kowboy 8-1
4. 4 Tizk Tizk 7-2
5. 6 Siteenparksidelane 5-1

Race 4) OC 75K/N1XC 7F Dirt
1. 2 The Cookie Man 2-1
2. 3 Egyptian Hero 5-2
3. 6 Alum 7-2

Race 5) Clm 8000N2L 7F Dirt
1. 10 Indio Nativo 8-1
2. 3 D. Shifflet 7-2
3. 11 Dealingatthegate 10-1
4. 13 {AE} Odachi 7-2
5. 9 Seventysevenwilow 4-1

Race 6) OC 32K/N2X 1 1/16th Turf
Strange race, both high profile shippers need more ground and are up against a strong speed bias. Looking for prices here…

1. 4 Lewis Vale 4-1
2. 7 Hammerstein 10-1
3. 5 Aquaphobia 3-1
4. 1 Closing Bell 5-2

Race 7) The Columbia 75K 1 mile Turf
1. 2 Big Bend 8-1
2. 4 Profiteer 6-1
3. 9 Sonic Boom 7-2
4. 10 Holiday stone 5-1

Race 8) The Challenger 100K 1 1/16th Dirt
1. 2 Stanford 8-5
2. 7 Ami’s Flatter 9-2
3. 3 Adirondack King 3-1

Race 9) Florida Oaks G3 1 1/16 miles Turf
1. 3 Dynatail 8-1
2. 5 La Coronel 5-2
3. 9 Compelled 4-1

Race 10) The Hillsborough G2 1 1/16th miles F&M 4 and up
Her running style give me heartburn, but I can’t see anyone in here that can keep Isabella Sings in check

1. 6 Isabella Sings 5-2

Race 11) Tampa Bay Derby G2 1/16th Dirt
Not nearly as clear cut as it would seem, casting a wide net…

1. 9 Wild Shot 5-1
2. 5 Tapwrit 3-1
3. 3 Basha 12-1
4. 7 Sonic Mule 6-1
5. 8 State of Honor 4-1
6. 4. No Dozing 6-1

Race 12) MSW 27000 6F Dirt
1. 7 Include the Best 5-1
2. 3 First Appeal 9-2
3. 9 Boudicea’s Revenge 7-2
4. 6 Right On By 4-1
5. 2 Dreamdrreamforme 6-1

3kings 03-11-2017 08:22 AM

Thanks Dan, have fun and good luck.

knickslions2 03-11-2017 09:19 AM

Good stuff Dan. Wish I was there. The 1 horse is interesting in the derby also. Good luck

-BT- 03-11-2017 12:26 PM

Common theme here, speed on the turf.
I'm a stubborn f$ck, I think Isabella gets hooked, record at distance makes me think this might be a tad out of here reach. The 1 in that race is a giagantic ?

Good luck boys!!!

*dan, also give my regards to that child-man-boy chalk eater 2 boxes to your left

-bt-

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 12:51 PM

Thanks Boys....Chalk festival so far but there are some fat races coming up.

Tom you may be on to something in the feature, but I've got Sonic Mule 5-6 lengths faster than the speed and think he either controls the pace and wins gate to wire, or the winner comes from the first flight. Wild Shot should be with them this time 2nd off and likely would have given McCracken a real test if he had a race under him last. Watch out for Basha...

Brian IS Is known to throw a clunker here and there and don't blame ya. Just nothing in here that stands out other than Dickerson, and I've seen this movie twice here and know how it usually ends... oh yeah speed on the turf is money.

declansharbor 03-11-2017 01:00 PM

No love for Fifty Five in the Oaks??

I'm locked, stocked, and two smoking barrels on her.

Best of luck today (outside of that race) !! :D

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 02:13 PM

May want to think about adding the 7 in your pick 5 here...absolute beast in the post parade...

-BT- 03-11-2017 02:28 PM

Inside turf is where it's at, thought I had two winners both found quicksand on the outside entering the stretch, fml

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 02:57 PM

Stanford just broke McCracken's track record. That was short lived....:eek:

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 1087243)
Inside turf is where it's at, thought I had two winners both found quicksand on the outside entering the stretch, fml

Dini likes his horse here B

knickslions2 03-11-2017 03:11 PM

Love this 3 coming up.

-BT- 03-11-2017 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 1087243)
Inside turf is where it's at, thought I had two winners both found quicksand on the outside entering the stretch, fml

Yeah, but that mother ****er can run me down no problem, **** this **** man, unreal

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 1087198)
No love for Fifty Five in the Oaks??

I'm locked, stocked, and two smoking barrels on her.

Best of luck today (outside of that race) !! :D

Nice Call Bro! Congrats !! I did add him in the p5 once you pointed him out thanks!

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 03:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 1087282)
Yeah, but that mother ****er can run me down no problem, **** this **** man, unreal

Irad Ortiz pulled the same sh1t on Lewis Vale in the 6th...LET THEM ROLL!

knickslions2 03-11-2017 04:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 1087261)
Stanford just broke McCracken's track record. That was short lived....:eek:

Tapwrit just break it again ? :)

Rudeboyelvis 03-11-2017 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1087314)
Tapwrit just break it again ? :)

37 year old stakes record, broken. Stanford's track record holds.

I'm guessing Street Sense thinks it was a dreadful race too. :D


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