Derby Trail Forums - 11/26: Aqueduct (6th-10th); Churchill Downs (8th-12th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 95th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

The mile and eighth always makes for interesting dynamic this time of year with the 2yo's and it looks like there's no shortage of pace signed on. Irad Ortiz gets another chance on Jamyson 'n Ginger after BC fiasco. Majestic Bonnie (20-1) an intriguing participant for Weaver as she should relish the 9f if able to handle the dirt. Ladies Day (8-1) another that should excel at the trip..

Most Likely: #4 Jamyson 'n Ginger 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Majestic Bonnie 20-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Ladies Day 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Sky Warrior 3-1 WON ($13.20)

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wild group that has maybe 2-3 lengths separating them. Pace appears honest enough..

Best Value: #4 Fearthefalcon 10-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Mark My Style 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Aragonite 6-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Cliffs of Dover 10-1 3rd

8th: 103rd Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 No Dozing 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Takaful 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Mo Town 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #1 Tellmeafookystory 20-1 7th

9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 11f-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Hardly Home 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Call Provision 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Richmond Street 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Manitoulin 3-1 3rd

10th: 28th Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m

Fun assortment of quality players in this late fall standard. After the obvious players in Connect, Anchor Down and Divining Rod, note that Realm is the only runner in the field that has won over the Big A main..

Most Likely: #10 Diving Rod 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Connect 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #3 Realm 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Anchor Down 2-1 5th

P5 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 4-12 (A), - (B), 3-5-8-11 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-9 (C)

P4 Grid:

7: 4-12 (A), 3 (B), 5-8-11 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), 2 (B), 1-2-7 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-9 (C)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Queen Bernardini 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Foul Play 10-1 11th
Next Best: #3 Fleet Dude 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Benner Island 8-1 WON ($13.80)

9th: 73rd Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Daddys Lil Darling 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Ever So Clever 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Lovely Bernadette 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Fun 6-1 12th

10th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Nice Not Nice 12-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Lookin At Blessing 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #8 Resiliency 3-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Guest Suite 2-1 WON ($6.00)

11th: 90 KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #11 McCracken 7-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #12 Uncontested 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Wild Shot 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Jocker Justice 30-1 9th

12th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Local Hero 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Hollow Point 9-5 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Combat Controller 15-1 -
Super Add: #11 Daddy Bob 15-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #6 Indy Hill 15-1 -

P5 Grid:

8: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), 6-7-10-12 (C)
9: 2-9-12 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
10: 11-12 (A), 4-8-9 (B), - (C)
11: 11-12 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
12: 2 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

P4 Grid:

9: 2-9-12 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
10: 11-12 (A), 4-8-9 (B), - (C)
11: 11-12 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
12: 2 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Good luck!
Steve