Derby Trail Forums - 10/19: Keeneland ($106k P6, $36k Hi-5 C/O's); Belmont Park ($84k C/O)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Dark Arden 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mahalo Malaki 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Chocolateicecream 5-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Tsunami 7-2 2nd

4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 All Aces 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Place des Vosges 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 College Holly 6-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Anythingyoucando 5-1 2nd

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Classic Rock 8-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Witnessadream 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Benevolent Prince 7-2 5th
Super Add: #11 Motown Man 8-1 8th

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dogtown 10-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Pat's Shows 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gotsomemojo 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Red Blue and True 20-1 6th

7th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ascend 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #4 Flashlight 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 High Noon Rider 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Western Reserve 3-1 2nd

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

$36.7k Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #8 Lucy's Revenge 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cowgirls Pray 6-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Vision of Liz 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Judy Judy Judy 9-2 WON ($10.00)
Hi-5 Play: #10 Lets Go Donna 4-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

3: 2-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
4: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 4-12 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
6: 2-8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 6 (B), 4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x2x4x2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2x1 = $32

P5 Grid:

4: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 4-12 (A), 8-11 (B), 2-9 (C)
6: 2-8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), 4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

P4 Grid:

5: 4-8-12 (A), 2-9-11 (B), - (C)
6: 2-8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 1-4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x4x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$84k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Zen Papa 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Too Wild to Repent 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Grey Glory 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Super Add: #2 Papa Tom 12-1 6th

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Yowl 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Market Strength 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Araqeel 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 The Catmancan 7-2 5th

6th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Butler Field 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 War of Ideas 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Dark as Midnight 10-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Freedom Tower 6-1 9th

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Second City 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2e Jacobson entry 5-1 WON ($7.80)/7th
Next Best: #1e Godolphin entry 5-2 8th/9th
Exotics Use: #5 Bond Vigilante 10-1 3rd

8th: OC/$100k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Almanaar 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Weekend Express 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Night Prowler 4-1 WON ($9.90)
Exotics Use: #7 Ice Cutter 5-1 4th

9th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f

Think the firsters are totally eligible to exceed those with experience..

Most Likely: #8 Cetara 8-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Kim Royale 15-1 WON ($79.00)
Next Best: #10 Beyond Discreet 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Sand City 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Quick On the Draw 20-1 5th

P6 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), 7 (B), 2-4-9 (C)
5: 7 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
6: 6-9 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-5-7 (C)
8: 8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x2x3x4 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A's: 2x1x2x2x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

$2 Pick-6 (7/8/3,6,7/2/3/2) Paid $285.50 (5OF6)

P4 Grid:

6: 6-9 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)
7: 1-2-6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 2-6-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x4 = 120 x $.50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x1x4= $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,6,7/2/3/2) Paid $1,003.75

Good luck!
Steve