8/31: Saratoga ~ Day 35 (G2 With Anticipation)
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: HCP, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Top Striker 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Balance the Budget 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Special Skills 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Orchestra Leader 15-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

More interesting than it you might think..

Most Likely: #5 Vilma 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 War At Sunrise 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 8-5 WON ($6.50)/7th
Exotics Use: #6 Pontastic 3-1 3rd


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Have to imagine one of the stalking types gets by here. Danger zone group..

Most Likely: #3 Stony Brook 3-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Junger 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Colonel Andy 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Not So Quiet Man 9-2 WON ($10.80)


4th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Another treacherous bunch with all 6 capable. Buy the race for multi purposes if you can afford it..

Best Value: #6 Marriage Fever 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Cousin Stephen 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Castaway 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Lucky Lotto 7-2 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Creaky Cricket 6-1 WON ($16.60)
Next Best: #10 Don't Be So Salty 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Latigo Trail 7-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Escapist 8-1 6th


6th: NY-CLM/$25k, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sidearm 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Yakov 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Comandante 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Uncharted Course 5-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

2: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
3: 3-8 (A), 4-10 (B), 1-2-5-9 (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), 1-3-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

3: 3-8 (A), 4-10 (B), 1-2-5-9 (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), 1-3-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-10 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
6: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (10/4/2/3) Paid $880.50


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Note the major draw-in of #11 Araqeel (8-5)..

Best Value: #7 Eleven Cent Fainor 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Circus Performer 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Late Night Mark 9-2 5th
Super Add: #2 King of Spades 6-1 WON ($14.00)


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Ametrine 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Barrel of Dreams 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Ginned Up 8-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Weather Girl 7-2 3rd


9th: 12th With Anticipation (G2), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Made You Look 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #5 Monsoon K S A 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Keep Quiet 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 My Bo Chop 3-1 5th


10th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Jax 2-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Honor Way 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Hexameter 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Loose 6-1 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 7-10 (A), 2-6-11 (B), 3-5-9 (C)
8: 3-6-10 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

confused a bit
 

steve today in your 7th race picks you have as your top choice the 7 horse
but in your pick 4 you have the 7 horse as your [b] selection

i would always think and obvouisly im wrong that your top play would be a [a] in any picks

I think he has that one as best value which doesn't mean its actually an A pick.

2nd race, Vilma is listed in the Program as #5

THX guys.. Adjustments made.. BOL today!

Great job handicapping today Steve. That early P4 paid very nice. It looks like your dialed in on tkt structure to start making some money.
:$::$:

Thanks gam.. Yes and no. Knowing all was necessary in the 4th and narrow use of Creaky Cricket/Don't Be So Salty was key and P4 was great. But not making Comandante (6th) and Klaravich (2nd) the 2nd choices cost the $3,300 opp in the P5.

It's a war every day.. Hope everyone did well!