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-   -   8/18: Saratoga ~ Day 24 ($40k C/O; Union Avenue) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=60783)

Kasept 08-18-2016 07:13 AM

8/18: Saratoga ~ Day 24 ($40k C/O; Union Avenue)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 11f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Artic North 4-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Winter Springs 2-1 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #3 Neoclassic 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Dream Man 9-5 3rd


2nd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Everything Schera horses are asked to do, whether with Weaver, Lawrence or Martin, they seem to do. Why not Ghareeb on the blinkered turf/dirt, route/sprint move?

Best Value: #2 Ghareeb 6-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Chubby Master 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Shadow Rider 4-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Don't Point 10-1 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Breaking Bread 9-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #1e Godolphin entry 3-1 2nd/6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chase Motto 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #6 Blenheim Palace 5-2 4th



4th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Battle of Evermore 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #5 One Sided 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Thirst for Glory 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Clifton Pleasure 7-2 2nd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$40k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #5 Very Fashionable 9-2 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #6 Devine Cause 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 My Mission 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 You Promise 10-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-6 (C)
2: 2-11 (A), 8-10 (B), 1-7-12 (C)
3: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-5-6 (C)
4: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
5: 5-6 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-5 (1/12/2/1/5,11,12,13,14,15,16) Paid $1,912.50


P4 Grid:

2: 2-11 (A), 8-10-12 (B), 1-7 (C)
3: 2 (A), 1-3 (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
5: 5-6 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x1x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (12/2/1/5,11,12,13,14,15,16) Paid $343.75


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Don't like singling first time starters, but Mirai showing signs of being a good horse while training up..

Most Likely: #8 MIRAI 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #7 Honor and Pleasure 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Dab 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Ethan Hunt 9-5 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X

Most Likely: #7 Malibu Stacy 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Not Taken 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Inheritance 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Open Arms 4-1 6th


8th: Opt CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Mosler 9-5 6th
Best Value: #6 Flashaway 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Night Officer 5-1 WON ($22.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Dowse's Beach 9-2 4th


9th: Union Avenue-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #6 Dr. Fager's Girl 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Hot City Girl 2-1 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Quezon 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Court Dancer 6-1 5th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Peculiar Sensation 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Slapstick 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Catapult Jack 10-1 Non-starter (Lost rider)
Exotics Use: #7 Priest N the Rabbi 9-2 3rd


P6 Grid:

5: 5-6 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
7: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 4 (A), 6 (B), 7 (C)
9: 6-7 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x2x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x1x3x1x2x2 = 24 x $2 = $48


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-7 (A), 1-3-5 (B), 6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-3-7 (C)
9: 6-7 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 1-3-5-7 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-18-2016 09:20 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 08-18-2016 02:03 PM

$212 A/B/C Play (#7 an A, #2-#4 are B's in 7th; #6 an A, #7 a B in 8th)

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $16.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 7 with 3,5 $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 6 with 1,7 $8.00

A's with Two B's 6 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 $16.00

7 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 4 with 7 with 3,5 $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 2,4 with 4 with 6 with 1,7 $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 6 with 7 with 3,5 $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 6 with 6 with 1,7 $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 7 with 1,7 $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 2,7,9 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $12.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 3,4,7 with 7 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $24.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 1,3,5 with 4 with 6 with 3,5 $24.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 3,5 $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 3,4 with 3,5 $16.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 8 with 7 with 4 with 6 with 2,9 $8.00

Total: $212.00

Max Caidy 08-18-2016 02:05 PM

Steve, nice job using Marble Falls as a b pick in race 2 ( leg 1 of p4). Bring it home!

Kasept 08-18-2016 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Max Caidy (Post 1074011)
Steve, nice job using Marble Falls as a b pick in race 2 ( leg 1 of p4). Bring it home!

THX Max.. Would be nice to get one, but may have already worn out luck cheating death in that 4th race photo..

Kasept 08-18-2016 02:10 PM

FYI.. T-storm weather starting to roll in..

Max Caidy 08-18-2016 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1074012)
THX Max.. Would be nice to get one, but may have already worn out luck cheating death in that 4th race photo..

Nice job!

Kasept 08-18-2016 02:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Max Caidy (Post 1074014)
Nice job!

Thanks a lot Max.. It's about time, honestly. Have to stick with it.

Alabama Stakes 08-18-2016 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1074013)
FYI.. T-storm weather starting to roll in..

Unless the clouds are over the 7 furlong chute they are meaningless boss.

Alabama Stakes 08-18-2016 03:16 PM

I'm right across from the jocks room if you want to say hello

Alabama Stakes 08-18-2016 03:31 PM

Everyone and their mother is alive in the pick 6 , so there's an unbelievably great vibe going through here even better than the usual great vibe .

Kasept 08-18-2016 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1074020)
I'm right across from the jocks room if you want to say hello

Tomorrow..

atolunch 08-18-2016 04:19 PM

Great job yet again today!!

Congrats and thanks as always:tro::$:

jms62 08-18-2016 05:20 PM

That loose horse completey changed the complexion if that race. Congrats on a great day.

Kasept 08-18-2016 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1074036)
That loose horse completey changed the complexion if that race. Congrats on a great day.

Thanks Jim.. Yeah. That was screwy. And the race was goofy enough without Jack's Catapulting...

ADJMK 08-18-2016 08:29 PM

Congrats on P5. You have been knocking on door and deserve to hit. I kept trying to make a case for the Jacobsen runner but left him off my ticket

Kasept 08-19-2016 05:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 1074053)
Congrats on P5. You have been knocking on door and deserve to hit. I kept trying to make a case for the Jacobsen runner but left him off my ticket

Thanks A.. That was a very deep, difficult group. Marble Falls was a big use for sheet players and 'Geroux on' an upgrade too.

Alabama Stakes 08-19-2016 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1074025)
Tomorrow..

Behind the channel 10 set as you come out of the paddock toward the track, if you are around. I think there are guys you know around Here too.

knickslions2 08-19-2016 05:44 PM

Well constructed pick 5 Steve. Congrats


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