Derby Trail Forums - 7/27: Saratoga ~ Day 5 (Honorable Miss)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Help From Heaven 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Unsinkable Late SCR
Best Value: #6 All for Us 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Berland 5-1 5th

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Massena 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Sebonack 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Trappe 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Saratoga Charlie 8-1 3rd

3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Conscience 5-2 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #8 Papa Tom 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 To the Victor 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Mister Popsicle 12-1 5th

4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Going for Broke 4-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #2 Jules N Rome 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Rachel's Temper 9-2 2nd

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mare Irish Dancer 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Safe With Me 8-1 WON ($34.60)
Next Best: #3 Vertical Oak 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Love and Lemons 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Cleo 15-1 10th

6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Tale for Ruby 8-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #4 Blenheim Palace 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Chase Motto 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Tizacity 8-1 5th

P5 Grid:

2: 6-7-8 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 3-6-7-8 (C)
4: 6 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 4-9-10 (B), 1-5-6-8 (C)
6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x6x3 = $54 ($27 for .50)
All A's: 3x1x1x3x3 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)

P4 Grid:

3: 3-5-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 6 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 4-9-10 (B), 1-5-6-8 (C)
6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x1x3x3 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)

$1 Pick-4 (5,9/6/7/7) Paid $226.00 ($113.00 for .50)

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Brutally tough start to the late quad with 7 of the 10 seemingly eligible for laurels..

Most Likely: 10 Summer Breezing 6-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Draft Day 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Wicked Freud 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Polar Axis 8-1 2nd

8th: 25th Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Diva Express 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Paulassilverlining 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bar of Gold 9-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Haveyougoneaway 3-1 WON ($9.40)

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

3rd of day's 3 wildly contentious turf sprints..

Most Likely: #6 Spectacular Me 5-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Lady Kreesa 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tent City 3-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Summer House 15-1 9th

10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #8 Sly Tom 9-2 10th
Best Value: #3 Are We Not Men 20-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Skill Not Luck 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Mambo At the Gym 6-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

7: 10-12 (A), 9-11 (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 1-5 (A), 4-7 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
9: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 3-8-11 (A), - (B), 1-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve