Derby Trail Forums - 5/14: Belmont Park ($101k DBL C/O)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$101k Double P6 C/O starts here..

For P6 purposes, Offering Plan and Western Reserve are highly likely, with Offering Plan potentially a single on narrow tickets. But Weekend Express could light it up and 12-1 returnees Make a Decision, Adirondack Dancer & Orino all could impact if ready off the bench..

Most Likely: #7 Offering Plan 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #6 Western Reserve 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Weekend Express 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Make a Decision 12-1 4th

7th: 40th Ruffian (G2), F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, All Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: 6 Carrumba 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Spelling Again 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Calamity Kate 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Include Betty 5-1 5th

8th: 39th Beaugay (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 My Miss Sophia 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Recepta 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Sistas Stroll 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Ball Dancing 2-1 7th

9th: 62nd Peter Pan (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Can't see who wants any part of Unified on the front end. Being asked to go another quarter mile, but Jerkens was confident of aptitude for assignment even before 7f stake win. Wild About Deb, daughter of Gottenstein Futurity winner Smarty Deb, latest West Coast stakes invader and imagine he immediately supersedes rest of the locals..

Most Likely: #7 Unified 4-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #6 Wild About Deb 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Adventist 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Decorated Soldier 6-1 5th

10th: 58th Man o' War (G1), 4+, 11f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #1 Morandi 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Wake Forest 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Kaigun 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Go Around 10-1 8th

All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), 1-2-4 (B), - (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), 3-4-6 (C)
10: 1-7-9 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x6 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = $12
Full (A/B/C): $79.50

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/6/7/9) Paid $212.25

For those trying to understand the Steve Crist A-B-C-X Exotics Betting wagering structure, here's the breakdown of how the tickets are laid out..

CRIST: A-B-C's of multi-race betting

AMAZON: Exotic Betting by Steve Crist

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6 with 1,8 with 7 with 1,7,9 = $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4 with 1,8 with 7 with 1,7,9 = $9.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6 with 3,5,6 with 7 with 1,7,9 = $9.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6 with 1,8 with 7 with 4,5,6 = $6.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4 with 3,5,6 with 7 with 1,7,9 = $13.50
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4 with 1,8 with 7 with 4,5,6 = $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6 with 3,5,6 with 7 with 4,5,6 = $9.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,6 with 1,8 with 3,4,6 with 1,7,9 = $18.00

Total: $79.50

11th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #4 Ancient Secret 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #7 Bubbe Zena 12-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Amazing Anne 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Hillaryinthehouse 5-1 9th

P6 Grid:

6: 6-7 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
7: 6 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), 3-5-6 (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), 3-4-6 (C)
10: 1-9 (A), 4-5-7 (B), 6 (C)
11: 4 (A), - (B), 5-7-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x1x5x1 = 60 x $2 = $120
Full (A/B/C): $200

$2 Pick-6 (4,7,10/1/6/7/9/1,4,12,13) Paid $25.40 (5OF6) x 2 = $50.80

For those trying to understand the Steve Crist A-B-C-X Exotics Wagering structure, here's the breakdown of how the tickets are laid out..

CRIST: A-B-C's of multi-race betting

AMAZON: Exotic Betting by Steve Crist

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 8 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 3,4 with 8 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $16.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 1 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 8 with 7 with 4,5,7 with 4 = $12.00

A's with Two B's

5 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 3,4 with 1 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 3,4 with 8 with 7 with 4,5,7 with 4 = $24.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 1 with 7 with 4,5,7 with 4 = $12.00

A's with One C

8 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 6 with 8 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 1,2 with 8 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 3,5,6 with 7 with 1,9 with 4 = $24.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 8 with 3,4,6 with 1,9 with 4 = $24.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 8 with 7 with 6 with 4 = $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 6 with 8 with 7 with 1,9 with 5,7,8,11 = $32.00

Total: $200.00

Good luck!
Steve