Derby Trail Forums - 1/23: Santa Anita ($307k Double C/O)

As matter-of-factly guaranteed by Brad Free Thursday on ATR, Friday sequence at Santa Anita went rogue producing a $307k double carry into Saturday. Having done races 1-6 for Beat the Host and the Santa Monica for radio, the Great Race Place card became today's sole focus..

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Infinite Magic 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Tripski 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Global Magician 10-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Gangnam Guy 15-1 6th

2nd: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Blue Law 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Where's Bubba 7-2 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #5 Captain Carchy 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Travel Bound 4-1 5th

3rd: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Rolo Tamaci 5-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Xerxes 12-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #9 Heavenly Haze 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Our Trooper 20-1 9th

4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$307k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #11 Undeniable U 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 My Golden One 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Tristan's Trilogy 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Uninvited 6-1 6th

5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Juansagain 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Prime Issue 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Tiz Dynamic 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Airfoil 3-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

1: 6-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-9-10 (C)
2: 7 (A), 2-3-5 (B), 1-6 (C)
3: 10 (A), 6-9 (B), 2-4-11 (C)
4: 11 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-7-8 (C)
5: 6-10 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x $0.50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $72

P4 Grid:

2: 3-7 (A), 2-5-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 10 (A), 6-9 (B), 2-4-11 (C)
4: 6-11 (A), 3-4-7 (B), 8 (C)
5: 6-10 (A), - (B), 1-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x5x2 = 150 x $0.50 = $75
Full (A/B/C): $79

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 It Is Living Water 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #1 Real Big Deal 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Wade 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 El Tovar 8-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Wolf Man Rocket 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Logan's Moon 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Avanti Bello 5-1 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Big Tire 5-1 5th

8th: 59th Santa Monica (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Difficult group to decipher for this standard with surface questions around Prize Exhibit and Living the Life as well as late maneuvering related to Room to Me's plans and ultimate cross-country ship. Did Ben's Duchess drill too close and too fast ahead of La Brea or is the 7/8ths an issue? Seems worthy of another chance here..

Most Likely: #2 Ben's Duchess 5-2 9th
Best Value: #7 Living the Life 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Room for Me 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Tara's Tango 6-1 3rd

9th: CA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Reliable Source 4-1 6th
Next Best: #12 True Brilliance 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #13 Wondering Ways 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Tribal Fighter 8-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Lymebird 4-1 8th

P6 Grid:

4: 11 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 8 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1 (C)
9: 9 (A), 12 (B), 5-7-8-10-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x3x4x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
Full (A/B/C): $204

P4 Grid:

6: 9 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
7: 8 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 1-5-6 (B), - (C)
9: 9-10-12-13 (A), 1-5-7-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x5x8 = 120 x $0.50 = $60
Full (A/B/C): $64 (With $1 All A's Play)

Good luck!
Steve