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-   -   Robot Spot Plays 11/27 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=58862)

Easy Goer Otis 11-27-2015 08:45 AM

Robot Spot Plays 11/27
 
GPW9 #6 With Exultation 5/1SCRATCHED
DMR8 #8 Alert Bay 4/1Chased pace and was empty when the real running started at 4/1
Spot #5: Top pedigree and early speed in a turf race with a vulnerable ML favorite. No weak final fractions.
WIN 38%, ROI $2.23 per dollar wagered since July
PLA 59%, 1.56
SHO 73% 1.37


LRL9 #13 Maya Elizabeth 4/1 Coughed it up in the stretch. out of money at 5/1
Spot #7: Shippers from PID, with top 2 second 4f speed ranking and no weak final fraction.
WIN 20% $1.16
PLA 34% $1.00
SHO 43% 0.90


DED9 Crescent City Hero 8/1 7th at 15-1
Spot #8: Top 2 second 4f velocity, in a dirt 7-7.5f race, with a razor sharp workout preceding.
WIN 46% $1.37
PLA 66% $1.23
SHO 69% $1.01


GPW1 #4 Trio of Mischief 5/2 2nd at 6/5 $2.60 $2.40
GG2 #4 Sky Tribute 5/1 4th at 3/1
GG4 #5 Council Rules 2/1 3rd at 8/5 $2.20
Spot #9: Turf sprint under 6f. Jockey has won with horse, top two velocity, average turn time and sustained pace.
WIN: 35%, $1.23
PLA: 64% $1.01
SHO: 69% $0.90


WO7 #4 Glenn Coco 2/1 2nd at 9/5 $3.30 $2.60
Spot #10 FTS or 2TS 2yo with top two pedigree in a chalky maiden route race.
WIN: 24%, $2.44
PLA: 39% $1.43
SHO: 50% $0.91


GPW11 #8 Divine Delivery 5/1 9th at 5/1
Spot #11 Finished 1st or 2nd in last race. Shows speed on turf. No weak final fraction. Claiming races.
WIN: 51%, $1.86
PLA: 59% $1.18
SHO: 77% $1.18

CD3 #2 Union Jackson 3/5 Won at 2/5 and paid $2.80 $2.40 $2.10
CD4 #2 Dogtown 6/1 Ran out of the money
FG9 #1 Sharp Miss 3/1 WON $5.00 $3.60 $2.40
GG2 #2 Ronda Rocks 2/1
SCRATCHED
Spot#12 Speed on the rail in a race with little projected pace. Razor sharp workout preceding.
WIN: 20%, $1.41
PLA: 37% $1.07
SHO: 43% $0.83

HAW3 #2 Crissy Field 8/5WON $3.80 $2.80 $2.40
Spot #16: Heavy favorite as speed on the rail in a race with no other comparable early speed threats.
WIN: 70%, $1.46
PLA 78% $1.05
SHO: 83% $0.97

PEN1 King Minos 9/5 3rd at 6/5 and paid $2.10
Spot #18: Heavy favorite despite not finishing ITM last race, with top two jockey and pedigree, in a race with no super-trainers.
WIN: 75%, $1.18
PLA: 92% $1.14
SHO: 96% $1.07


FG8 Forty Fifteen 5/19th at 6/1
Spot #22: Projected speed duel in a wide open 2 yo route race. Top two velocity ranking and final 4f fraction.
WIN: 25%, $1.18
PLA: 33% $0.89
SHO: 47% $0.92

AQ2 #1 Arctic King 8/1 Out of the money
Spot #30: Dirt sprint race, rail position, blinkers on, top two final 4f long velocity.
WIN: 31%, $1.22
PLA: 44% $1.16
SHO: 56% $1.03

PRX8 #3 Discreet Senorita 3/1 WON paid $6.20 $2.80 $2.20
FL2 #5 Not About the Nail 7/5 5th as 3/4 favorite
Spot #31: Fillies and mares with top EPS last 365 days, loves to win, with top ranked jockey.
WIN: 46%, $1.22
PLA: 67% $1.10
SHO: 74% $0.95

AQ8 #4 Taris 6/5 Won at 4/5 $3.80 $2.90 $2.40
FL8 #6 Cruzin On It 3/2 WON at odds on, paying $2.70 $2.10 $2.10
Spot #32: Same as Spot #31, except routes only
WIN: 45%, $1.11
PLA: 71% $1.05
SHO: 77% $1.00

TUP3 #1 Unstoppable Colby 7/2 WON $8.20 $3.00 $2.80
Spot #37: Pulpits with top 2 jock and no weak final fractions.
WIN: 29%, ROI $1.38
PLA: 45%, $0.90
SHO: 61%, $0.93

GPW9 #9 Snow Trouble 9/2 Up the track
CD1 #5 GoGo Rocket 5/1 6th set a fast pace, and stopped in mid stretch
CD11 #9 Race Day 7/2 5th at 3/1
Spot #40: Tapit with top 2 jockey and no weak final fraction
WIN: 35% $1.15
PLA: 52% $0.95
SHO: 62% $0.87

DMR7 #8 Mama's Sugar 4/1 WON at 8-1 and paid $17.00 $8.00 $5.20
Spot #41: Sired by Looking at Lucky, with top 2 jockey and no weak final fraction.
WIN: 40% $1.31
PLA: 64% $1.31
SHO: 68% $1.01

FG2 Here Comes Chloe 5/2 Ran 4th at 3/2
Spot #42: Bellamy Road with top PAC rating (2nd call speed) and top two jockey:
WIN: 32%, $1.40
PLA: 53% $1.12
SHO: 68% $1.04

FL8 Mrs Sunday 3/1 2nd $3.80 $2.30
Spot #43: Sired by Any Given Saturday with top two jockey and no weak final fraction:
WIN: 41%, $1.68
PLA: 65% $1.53
SHO: 65% $1.08

LRL9 #11 Sweet Fortune 7/2 Out of money at 3/1
TUP4 #12 Candy Sweetheart 8/1 Out of money at 8/1
Spot #51: Candy Ride with top two jockey and no weak final fraction.
WIN: 32%, $1.24
PLA: 52% $1.07
SHO: 62% $1.09

AQ2 #7 Ant and Bee 6/1 ran 4th at 14/1
GPW3 #7 Table Top 3/1 WON at 6/5/ $4.80 $2.60 $2.10
DMR3 #9 Bolt up 3/1 4th at 3/1
CD5 #10 Dream Brother 5/2 Ran 4th at even money
DMR9 [b]#7 Two Steps of Glory 7/2[/B] 2ND at 5/2 paid $3.40 $3.00
Spot #58: Outposted horses in 5.5-6f races with top 2 velocity rating and top 2 turn time ranking.
WIN: 29% $1.14
PLA: 51% $1.01
SHO: 65% $0.93

RP9 #1 Corporate Charlie 5/1 6th at 6/1
Spot #74: JR Caldwell in races with less than $10k prize money
WIN: 38%, $1.65
PLA: 54% $1.30
SHO: 77% $1.63

DED9 Whispering Charm 9/5 8th at 2/1
Spot #75: Tom Amoss with a fresh horse
WIN 50%, $1.58
PLA 58%, $1.08
SHO 58%, $0.85

RECAP:
32-9-5-3

29% win, 54% iTM
BEST HIT: Mama's Sugar 8/1 at DMR


Good luck today!

Cheers,

Otis

Lt1 11-27-2015 12:09 PM

Good luck EGO


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