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-   -   Robot Spot Plays 11/26 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=58852)

Easy Goer Otis 11-26-2015 09:42 AM

Robot Spot Plays 11/26
 
FG1 #4 Barbwirebilly 2/1 WON by open lengths at odds-on. Paid $3.40 and $2.10 (no show betting)
FG2 #11 Fire Lake 4/1SCRATCHED
Spot #75: Tom Amoss with a fresh horse
WIN 50%, ROI per dollar wagered since July on this spot play = $1.58
PLA 58% $1.08
SHO 58% $0.85


AQ2: #5 Steve's Philly 6/1 2nd at 4/1. Paid $4.80 and $3.60
AQ2: #8 Lebowski 4/1 4th at 5/2
LRL7: #9 Rickster 5/13rd at 7-1. Paid $4.20 to show
DMR8: #13 Redneck Crazy WON at 5-1 and paid $12.00 $6.00 and $4.00
Spot #58: Outer posted in a MCL sprint with top 2 velocity and average turn time rankings
WIN: 29%, $1.14
PLA: 51% $1.01
SHO: 65% $0.91


AQ3: #5 Constellation 1/1 WON at 1/2. Paid $3.00 and $2.10. No show betting
Spot #42: Bellamy Road with top PAC rating (2nd call speed) and top two jockey:
WIN: 32%, $1.40
PLA: 53% $1.12
SHO: 68% $1.04


AQ4: #2 Getup Stayup 8/1 3rd at 9/1. Paid $4.80
Spot #30: Rail play in a sprint. Blinkers on, top two last 4f velocity rating.
WIN: 31%, $1.22
PLA: 44% $1.16
SHO: 65% $1.03

WO2: #1 Kitten's Candy 8/1 WON at 8/1. Paid $18.20 $7.40 $2.70
Spot #51: Candy Ride with top two jockey and no weak final fraction.
WIN: 32%, $1.24
PLA: 52% $1.07
SHO: 62% $1.09


GPW5: #6 How You 6/1 4th at 11-1
Spot #41: Looking at Lucky with top two jock and no weak final fraction
WIN: 40%, $1.31
PLA: 64% $1.31
SHO: 68% $1.01


AQ5: #2 Sister Superior Didn't lift a hoof at 2-1
Spot #37: Pulpit with top 2 jockey and no weak final fraction
WIN: 29%, $1.38
PLA: 45% $0.90
SHO: 61% $0.93


AQ6: #6 Bankers Holiday 5/1 4th at 5/2. Part of a 4 horse photo at the wire. Javy got caught behind a wall of horses and couldn't extract in time.
Spot #39: Scat Daddy with top 2 jockey, top 2nd call speed, and no weak final fraction.
WIN: 50%, $1.62
PLA: 60% $1.04
SHO: 70% $0.90


CD9: #9 Haute Prospect 12/1 6th at 22-1
Spot #9: Turf sprint under 6f. Jockey has won with horse, top two velocity, average turn time and sustained pace.
WIN: 35%, $1.23
PLA: 64% $1.01
SHO: 69% $0.90


AQ9: #11 Blooper 4/1 6th at7/2
Spot #17: Turf race for CL and MCL. Finished first in last outing, projected toward front early. No weak final fraction.
WIN: 52%, $1.93
PLA: 62% $1.29
SHO: 81% $1.26


FG9: #1 Clearly Now 8/53rd at 4/5 and paid $2.10
Spot #36: Dirt sprint races, top early 4f velocity, top EPS last 365 days, razor sharp workout.
WIN: 56%, $2.15
PLA: 61% $1.20
SHO: 61% $0.88


FG10: #14 Parlay Ponti 8/1 7th at 14-1
Spot #22: Projected speed duel in a wide open 2 yo route race. Top two velocity ranking and final 4f fraction.
WIN: 25%, $1.18
PLA: 33% $0.89
SHO: 47% $0.92


RECAP
15-5-1-3
WIN $36.60 (+6.60) 33%
PLA $22.80 (-7.20) 40%
SHO $20.40(-9.60) 60%



Cheers and Happy Turkey Day!

Otis

Lt1 11-26-2015 09:59 AM

Good luck EGO

Easy Goer Otis 11-26-2015 12:39 PM

Thanks, Lt1. You too!

Nice hit on Kitten's Candy who just came in at 8-1.

Cheers,

Otis


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