Derby Trail Forums - 10/10: Keeneland (5th-10th); Belmont Park (7th-10th)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Ocean Knight won yesterday and hopefully Union Jackson follows suit today to try and lift the spirits at Stonestreet as much as possible after this morning's brutally sad fatal injury to Rock Fall. After hearing Steve Asmussen's voice light up when discussing Union Jackson this week on ATR, will be very surprised if he doesn't graduate today..

Most Likely: #2 Union Jackson 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #7 Blaze'n Prospector 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Walker's Way 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Anois Agus Aris 12-1 5th

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Bourbon Soul 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Approvethismessage 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Gin Riki 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Tennessee 3-1 WON ($5.80)

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Banner Waving 7-2 8th
Best Value: #10 Carina Mia 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 J La Tache 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Holders Season 9-2 4th

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Quirky stat on Romans in here for Lavender Chrissie (3-1) as cagey outfit is just 1 for 20 turf/dirt while stretching out (5%), but does have 7 other board hits (8/20) under these conditions (40%)..

Most Likely: #8 Enchantress 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Bella Veloce 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lavender Chrissie 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Ciaran's Prize 8-1 6th

9th: 32nd Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Was beaten in NY by Sentiero Italia and too late to board her train now.

Best Value: #4 Her Emmynency 8-1 WON ($40.00)
Next Best: #9 Sentiero Italia 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Prize Exhibit 6-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Blond Me 8-1 6th

10th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Bird Humor 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Calumet ownership entry 7-2 4th/5th
Exotics Use: #5 White Gladiator 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #7 Ain't Hesitatin 10-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Busby Alley 20-1 7th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 7-10 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 6 (A), 2-10 (B), 3-5-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-6-7-9 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-6-7 (C)
10: 1-10 (A), 5 (B), 3-6-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

P4 Grid:

7: 6-10 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-6-7-9 (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 2-3-6-7 (B), 5-8 (C)
10: 1-10 (A), 5 (B), 3-6-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ocala Jim 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wildniteattheopera 15-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Make a Decision 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #2 East Bay Lodge 15-1 6th

8th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Reload 3-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #1 Fredericksberg 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Take the Stand 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bombaguia 30-1 8th

9th: 56th Knickerbocker (G3), 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Messi 5-1 WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #11 Cage Fighter 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Mr Speaker 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Legendary 8-1 4th

$1 Exacta (2-11) Paid $162.00
$1 Trifecta (2-11-9) Paid $1,114.50
$1 Superfecta (2-11-9-8) Paid $7,536.00

10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T

Most Likely: #11 Ava's Kitten 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 On Leave 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Reimburse 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Anabela Princess 15-1 7th

P4 Grid:

7: 7 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
8: 8 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 2 (C)
9: 2-11 (A), 7-8-9-10 (B), 1-4-6 (C)
10: 11 (A), 4 (B), 1-7-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (5,9,12,13,14/6,8,10,11/2/3,11) Paid $68.25

Good luck!
Steve