Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Pretty Neat Pharaoh v Secretariat video (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=57494)

jms62 06-09-2015 08:07 AM

Pretty Neat Pharaoh v Secretariat video
 
http://deadspin.com/this-is-what-it-...rac-1709988755

LARHAGE 06-09-2015 09:15 AM

That was pretty neat, Secretairiat's mile time was insane. Is it correct then to say he would have beat American Pharoah by 20+ lengths?????

Indian Charlie 06-09-2015 10:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LARHAGE (Post 1030861)
That was pretty neat, Secretairiat's mile time was insane. Is it correct then to say he would have beat American Pharoah by 20+ lengths?????

Probably more.

NavalOrange 06-09-2015 10:46 AM

AP was closing the gap over the last half mile. Not sure what the point of comparing times is. We all know Secretariat was a freak with the large heart and all. I would not put too much stock in AP's times. Why push him to run faster. Isn't the goal to win races. Which he does by working hard early to establish a great trip, and then finishes his races well. Many times we make excuses for horses because they have bad trips. AP's talent is what drives all his great trips, not racing luck. I will not argue his place in history, just like I would not argue any other sporting great from different era's. Instead I am enjoying watching this special animal. I hope he stays healthy and can continue his three year old compaign.

tector 06-09-2015 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1030871)
Probably more.

If you accept the BSFs of 139 and 105, it would be 28-30 lengths.

Go to page 104 here: https://goo.gl/4Ks2Qt

Indian Charlie 06-09-2015 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 1030875)
If you accept the BSFs of 139 and 105, it would be 28 lengths.

Go to page 104 here: https://goo.gl/4Ks2Qt

Well, yeah, but I didn't really mean it that way.

Had AP gone head to head with him like Sham did, who knows what would have happened.

I doubt AP would have collapsed as dramatically as Sham did, but there is a strong chance AP wouldn't have finished in quite the same final time that he did.

tector 06-09-2015 11:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1030879)
Well, yeah, but I didn't really mean it that way.

Had AP gone head to head with him like Sham did, who knows what would have happened.

I doubt AP would have collapsed as dramatically as Sham did, but there is a strong chance AP wouldn't have finished in quite the same final time that he did.

Also quite true. Secretariat ran much faster fractions on a slower track.

pointman 06-09-2015 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NavalOrange (Post 1030873)
AP was closing the gap over the last half mile. Not sure what the point of comparing times is. We all know Secretariat was a freak with the large heart and all. I would not put too much stock in AP's times. Why push him to run faster. Isn't the goal to win races. Which he does by working hard early to establish a great trip, and then finishes his races well. Many times we make excuses for horses because they have bad trips. AP's talent is what drives all his great trips, not racing luck. I will not argue his place in history, just like I would not argue any other sporting great from different era's. Instead I am enjoying watching this special animal. I hope he stays healthy and can continue his three year old compaign.

When has AP had to work hard early to establish a great trip?

tector 06-09-2015 11:18 AM

I think we just should put aside Secretariat's Belmont--it is Bob Beamon's Mexico City jump, squared, or cubed. And unlike Beamon's breed (humans), thoroughbreds (at least in the US) are not evolving to excel at the accomplishment (1.5m on dirt)--in fact they are going in the opposite direction. Big Red's world record of 2:24 on dirt--achieved on the perfect race track (an exact 1.5 wide oval) is not likely going anywhere, ever, no matter how much the track gets souped up.

tector 06-09-2015 11:55 AM

My calculation is that Easy Goer's 1989 Belmont (a 122 BSF, the highest of any TC race since the numbers were first published publicly in 1987) would have been very near 2:24 (possibly under) on Saturday's souped up track. Of course that is over a quarter of a century ago now (you are getting old, folks), and no American 3YOs are running anything near 122 BSFs at 1.5m on dirt nowadays.

So for just the raw 2:24 to get bettered, it would likely have to be some super foreign horse with undiluted stamina breeding on a crazy fast Belmont strip that day, running the race of his life.

And if you accept Secretariat at 139, then this past Saturday he runs somewhere under 2:21 (using 5 lengths/sec at 1.5m, and assuming his trip in the time machine took nothing out of him).

NavalOrange 06-09-2015 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1030881)
When has AP had to work hard early to establish a great trip?

Work hard is a relative term. But he definitely exerts a bit of energy early in races to setup his trip. I think that is part of his talent. Of course if he gets to run against the best older horses, that will continue to be tested.

hondo 06-11-2015 11:59 AM

what it would look like if American Pharoah raced Secret
 
You may like this

http://deadspin.com/this-is-what-it-...rac-1709988755

ateamstupid 06-11-2015 12:04 PM

http://derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=57494

hondo 06-11-2015 12:05 PM

Sorry tried to search for it on my smart phone and you could see that wasn't too smart


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:34 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.