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Kitan 09-30-2014 10:39 PM

Belmont Wednesday Oct. 1
 
Race 2:
A lot of questions over the favoured runners, so I'll take a shot with #3 Tree Fire. Just needs to add some consistency to his arsenal and I like the fact that Cornelio stays aboard. Should get a good trip on the rail behind the leaders and hopefully he'll be good enough.
#1A Jimmy Fillpot: Looks the best of the rest and should bounce back.

Race 3:
#5 Cara Marie: Dutrow 2nd timer at NYRA...
#6 I'm a Lucky Girl: 8.5f will be much more suitable than the 5f dashes. Dangerous shipper.

Race 4:
Tough to be confident on anything here. #10 First Summation looks the best but has to contend with a long layoff.

Race 7:
I think that #2 Blue Pigeon will appreciate the cut in distance more than #1A will, but I'll add #3 Archer Hill in case he doesn't fire.

Race 8:
#2 Three Alarm Fire is much the one to beat...
#4 Lawmaker: Has been working well for his Pletcher debut and it might just be that he didn't like the inner. Worth using at those ML odds.

Race 9:
#1 Jadam: I was impressed with his debut and it's easy to see him going a couple spots better here.
#4 Where's the Risk: Only fair in his debut but this distance is what he wants.
#14 R Y Squadron: Chad 2yo FTS on the turf...
#8 Krista's Persona: Paco sticks around as this one adds Lasix. Must hope for better behaviour at the gate.
I'll substitute the Clement FTS, #5 Culminating, if any of my other four are scratched.

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 1A only, 3
Race 3: 5, 6
Race 4: 3, 5, 9, 10
Race 5: 2, 7, 8, 9, 10
$48.00

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 6: ALL (7)
Race 7: 2, 3
Race 8: 2, 4
Race 9: 1, 4, 8, 14 (add 5 if SCRs)
$67.20

Good luck!

Kitan 10-01-2014 08:37 PM

Didn't have time in the morning to adjust for the off-turf races...would have been nice to have had some time as I had some of the higher prices but can't dwell on that...


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