Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   Belmont Wednesday Sept. 24 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=55259)

Kitan 09-24-2014 01:31 AM

Belmont Wednesday Sept. 24
 
Race 2:
#7 Nicholson is SCR...
#4 Cee No More: Ignore the turf try and his debut wasn’t really that bad. Should be more mature and ready now.
#5 Inca Saint: Back to Chad, back to one turn, back to the dirt…hasn’t worked since the 13th but is coming down from the Spa.
#1 is SCR…don’t know what to make of #8…

Race 3:
#7 All Luv Me: Best efforts have come on the Belmont dirt. Worth a try as this is far from a strong encounter.
#6 Moonlight Fantasy: Only showed immaturity in debut and has been blitzing in the mornings.
#3 Saharan Serenade: Respect the jock change and blowout.
#1 was in a weak field last time, I’ll let her prove herself…#5 may need this…

Race 4:
#2 Galroyale: Bush takes a while to get them ready so the slow start to her career makes sense. Closed well first off the claim behind a wire to wire winner and can go one better here.
#1 Korite: Was in a tough spot in her first lifetime start. Working much better for this and I think we’ll see a better effort.
#5 Thinking of Mom: This distance might be a bit more suitable.
#7 Magsamelia: Can forgive her last. If she takes to the grass she’ll be tough to run down.

Race 5:
#6 Life’s a Stage: Hasn’t been far from these before and she should get pace to suit, otherwise a good trip regardless. Favs very vulnerable here.
#4 Willow U: Unlucky to be gunned down but really should have won. Looks to get a good spot from an inside draw and can get the dream run.

Race 6:
#10 Real Estate Rich: His only bad race on his form came last out when he had a tough trip in a race where the speed/pace runners did quite well. If we want to be picky, his two other out of the money finishes, which were both 4ths, came with the blinkers on. He showed two back that he can run in this class and he should get speed to run at. Rapid drill last week. Taking a flyer to start the P4.
#5 Writingonthewall: Veteran looks to sit the perfect trip and is the one to beat.
#3 Finding Candy: He should also get a good setup but I’m just not sure he’s good enough.

Race 7:
#1A Strong Impact: Hoping he’s the POE that stays in as he’s beaten some good sprinters over the past 14 months or so. Much better on firm than wet and of the three most likely runners he’ll be an overlay.
#2 Bio Pro: This is much easier, but he’s also been in similar company and not won. May even find the 7f too sharp and while he is a must use he’s hard to take at what will be short odds.
#3 Golden Rifle: Former 16k MCLer has somehow finally figured things out.

Race 8:
Don’t have much to say about this race. Will just take ALL.

Race 9:
#2 Bold Senator: Two works since his last and has a chance to upset.
#12 Chasin Chama: The playback horse last time but that wasn’t the most suitable spot. Worried that he might take back and get caught feeling the breeze but if he goes for a forward spot he will be extremely dangerous.
#11 Hushhushmushmush: Smells like a money burner but this is the weakest bunch he's ever been against.

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 1: 7
Race 2: 4, 5, 8
Race 3: 3, 6, 7
Race 4: 1, 2, 5, 7
Race 5: 4, 6
$43.20

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 4, 5, 8
Race 3: 3, 6, 7
Race 4: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9
Race 5: 4, 6
$54.00

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 6: 3, 5, 10
Race 7: 1A, 2, 3
Race 8: ALL (5)
Race 9: 2, 11, 12
$81.00

Good luck!

knickslions2 09-24-2014 02:29 PM

#7 Magsamelia: Can forgive her last. If she takes to the grass she’ll be tough to run down.



Spot on!!

ADJMK 09-24-2014 02:33 PM

Race 5:
#6 Life’s a Stage: Hasn’t been far from these before and she should get pace to suit, otherwise a good trip regardless. Favs very vulnerable here.

Spot on again.(23-1) Kitan back finding us prices.

Kitan 09-24-2014 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kitan (Post 999261)
$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 6: 3, 5, 10
Race 7: 1A, 2, 3
Race 8: ALL (5)
Race 9: 2, 11, 12
$81.00

$1 Pick 4 5/2/7/12 (4 of 4) $172.70
= $103.62 for $0.60

Some days going deep gets you the big ticket, other days it gives you less of a profit. Winning is always better than losing though!

Thanks guys. The R4/R5 double sure helped, regardless of the DH knocking the price down. In hindsight I should have gone after the P6 today!


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:20 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.