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-   -   7/30: Saratoga (Day 11; Coronation Cup) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=54724)

Kasept 07-30-2014 06:38 AM

7/30: Saratoga (Day 11; Coronation Cup)
 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Harrods Creek 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Virsito 2-1 WON ($9.30)
Best Value: #4 Bodie Island 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Naylor Ownership entry 5-2 2nd/7th


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Weak group.. You can easily anticipate a staggerfest late..

Best Value: #6 Bella Fachi 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 On a Snowy Evening 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Kelly's Prize 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Brandini 3-1 WON ($9.20)


3rd: NY-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

More than enough pace to allow Willet to scoop them up late. Atlantic's Smile working brilliantly for 2nd start under Baker's watch and though improvement needed yet from 4yo debut, half sis of Johannesburg Smile has the upside to warrant confidence. Galiana nipped Winning Image at DEL, but has reacted after big efforts previously and regression more likely than the improvement needed to rebuff Willet..

Most Likely: #6 Willet 7-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #3 Atlantic's Smile 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Galiana 2-1 3rd


4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rock Me Mama 5-2 WON ($4.10)
Next Best: #5 Dash to the Flash 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Alaskan Bird 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 4-1 2nd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Tony Dutrow rolling and will be intriguing to see if he SCR's Oohlala to get Zo Zo in or runs both if Zo Zo should draw in on her own. Note that rebuilding Neal Terracciano sends hot-drilling Nonna Jo (Majestic Warrior) here after her half sister Bella Fachi (FuPeg) looks for her diploma in the 2nd!

Next Best: #8 First Charmer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Nonna Jo 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Oohlala 3-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Yourcreditisgood 10-1 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mama Zee 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 My Donna Jean 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 My Tee Time 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Kelwynne 4-1 4th


P5/P4 Grid/Plays:


1: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4 (C)
2: 6 (A), -- (B), -- (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 5-7 (B), -- (C)
4: 8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-5-8 (B), -- (C)


All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 3,5,8 - $18.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 1,7 with 1 - $4.00

Total: $70.00


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Tough start to late quad with whole field is separated by about 5 lengths..

Best Value: #8 Wine Burglar 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sundae School 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Ear D' Rhythm 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #3 Benny's Bullet 5-1 6th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Who says today's game can't fill allowance races? Excellent, deep group..

Most Likely: #6 La Madrina 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Dear Mama 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Love You Loads 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Eddy Gourmet 15-1 3rd


9th: 3rd Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Plenty of speed lined up here and 'first North America' Stars Above Me may overwhelm these. We won't be getting 5-1 though..

Most Likely: #7 STARS ABOVE ME 5-1 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Scatcapade 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Elena Strike 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Burn Control 6-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT

Fascinating finale that features some appropriate pedigrees for lawn moves and career debuts. #13 Jimmy Soul draws in and complicates things even more..

Most Likely: #11 Candir 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #5 Same As 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 All the Way 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Jimmy Soul 3-1 10th


<$65 P4 Play/Grid:


7: 7-8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 6 (A), 5-7-11 (B), 3-8-10 (C)
9: 7 (A), 5 (B), 3-10 (C)
10: 5-11 (A), 2-13 (B), 8 (C)


All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00 $1.00 Pick 4 (1,4/6/2,4,7,9/11) Paid $212.25
3 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $12.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 5 with 5,11 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 2,13 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 2,13 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,8,10 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 3,10 with 5,11 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 8 - $1.00

Total: $65.00


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-30-2014 10:25 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

dellinger63 07-30-2014 05:17 PM

En Fuego

Great job today Steve!

Bogey 07-30-2014 09:39 PM

Steve, solid work. You're on the verge of knocking all the dominos down.

Kasept 07-30-2014 10:01 PM

Thx Steve.. Gus.. Except for the very difficult circumstance involving Lavender Road and the delay, a very pleasant day. Hope everyone did well.

geeker2 07-30-2014 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 990248)
Thx Steve.. Gus.. Except for the very difficult circumstance involving Lavender Road and the delay, a very pleasant day. Hope everyone did well.

Lavender Road OK ?

Kasept 07-31-2014 05:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2 (Post 990249)
Lavender Road OK ?

Was stable at Rood & Riddle last night and awaiting update from Abby Adsit right now..

Kasept 07-31-2014 05:25 AM

From Adsit, Lavender Road still listed as stable overnight but not necessarily free and clear of issues including neurological damage. Will update everyone later and appreciates everyone's prayers and well wishes.

Bigsmc 07-31-2014 05:33 AM

Steve, I don't know if you have access to the vets there to ask questions of them, but I am curious as to how many cases of heat stroke they have seen in horses before they run the race.

I have attended a lot of very hot weather race days over the last 30 years and have seen many many cases after the race is run, but don't recall ever seeing a horse go down after simply warming up.

Maybe this is common and I simply haven't noticed, but this case seems very unique.

Kasept 07-31-2014 06:00 AM

It depends on the horse. If she's a non-sweater that internalizes her heat, that can trigger the convulsions. It didn't seem hot enough here yesterday to warrant special considerations for heat stroke or heat stress. There may be something else involved in this case. I'll have Dr. Palmer and/or Dr. Allday on today to discuss/explain.

Gate Dancer 07-31-2014 08:05 AM

Well done Mr. Byk................really enjoying the A-B-C method of displaying the tickets. Trying to get away myself from the 'caveman' approach to making my plays. Between your 'live' examples and the book by Steve Crist you can't get much better instruction. Thx.

Arletta 07-31-2014 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 990252)
Was stable at Rood & Riddle last night and awaiting update from Abby Adsit right now..

Word is she didn't make it.. Can you confirm that?

pointman 07-31-2014 05:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arletta (Post 990340)
Word is she didn't make it.. Can you confirm that?

Sadly, she had to be euthanized due to a fracture in her neck per Dave Grening.

Arletta 07-31-2014 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 990348)
Sadly, she had to be euthanized due to a fracture in her neck per Dave Grening.

Damn..


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