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-   -   7/17: Del Mar (5th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=54587)

Kasept 07-17-2014 06:56 AM

7/17: Del Mar (5th-10th)
 
DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Jules Journey 7-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Stoney Fleece 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Kokaltash 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Super Ability 6-1 WON ($16.60)


6th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Pulmarack 9-2: Full to Luckarack, half to Tamarando.. 6th
Next Best: #5 Whatahustler 5-1: Sharp worker offers some value.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 London Legacy 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Quiet Thunder 5-1 8th


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Cinmars Dance 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Romar Success 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Maxx the Giant 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Navarre 6-1 8th


8th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Carla Gaines won a division of Oceanside last year with Gervinho in 5th start and coming in 2nd/layoff from June. From Mr. Williamson's outstanding race and broodmare Blending Element, Texas Ryano is similarly making 4th start, 2nd/layoff from June and appears highly progressive. The one to beat. Fourth in the Singletary last time, Forever Juanito a bit of reach, but is 20-1 now (could go higher) and as viable in the mix as Argyle Cut (9-2), Home School (15-1) and Love Rules All (15-1). Sammy Mandeville draws in from AE's and will be overlooked..

Most Likely: #10 Texas Ryano 4-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Forever Juanito 20-1 8th
Next Best: #13 Sammy Mandeville 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Enterprising 7-2 WON ($7.80)


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Diamond of Blue 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Magic Beam 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Close to the Edge 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Xuang Feng 5-1 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Paceless affair is begging for an offbeat option..

Best Value: #4 Hittheroadrunning 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Affretando 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Godard 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Coastal Breeze 12-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Vibrato Jazz 5-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 4,8 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 8 with 4,8 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 4,8 - $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 8 with 4,8 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 9 with 9,11 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 8 with 4,8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 9,11 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 8 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 3,4,5 with 9 with 4,8 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 4,6,7,10 with 4,8 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 5,6,12,13 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-17-2014 02:32 PM

DMR SCR/CHG'S

Pants II 07-17-2014 02:36 PM

Best of luck today, Steve.

I hope you're right about Forever Juanito.
:D

ateamstupid 07-17-2014 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pants II (Post 987267)
Best of luck today, Steve.

I hope you're right about Forever Juanito.
:D

I hope you're both right. :D

Kitan 07-17-2014 03:13 PM

Good luck today Steve. Hopefully word doesn't get out too much on your picks in the 6th and 7th as those are my top picks as well, although the 7th is a total crapshoot. Should be great value in the 8th and make for a great P4 sequence.

EDIT: Just finished the sequence...8 & 9 in the 9th and 4 & 8 in the last leg...we really are on the same brainwave today. Hopefully I do better than I did at AP...

knickslions2 07-17-2014 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 987268)
I hope you're both right. :D

This race feels like a bomb is coming in. Best time of year starts today.

Ronnie 07-17-2014 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 987275)
Best time of year starts today.

Yes!!!!

Kasept 07-17-2014 09:47 PM

$107k DMR C/O FRIDAY! :$:


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