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one sportsbook's Preakness odds
Here are Preakness win odds being offered by SportsInteraction:
Horse odds-to-1 (except CA Chrome) California Chrome, * 7-10 Danza, * 5 Social Inclusion, * 9 Kid Cruz, * 12 Ride On Curlin, * 12 Bayern, * 14 Dynamic Impac, * 16 Strong Mandat, * 16 Ring Weekend*, 16 Pablo Del Monte, * 20 It's not a very generous line overall--works out to about a 22% "take". (It's understandable, since there's no disclaimer that CC has to run.) --Dunbar |
Difficult to take Danza at those odds.
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I was focusing so much on Chrome and Soc Inclusion that I didn't notice the listing of 2 non-runners. --Dunbar |
TVG offering 3/2 on CC.
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--Dunbar |
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Here's 5Dimes' current betting line...
Chrome is -160, which is 5-8. Horse , Odds Dynamic Impact, 20 General a Rod, 20 Calif Chrome, 5-8 Ring Weekend, 30 Bayern, 13 Ria Antonia, 22 Kid Cruz, 15 Social Inclusion, 6 Pablo del Monte, 27.5 Ride On Curlin, 20 Those odds amount to a "take" of 9.3% --Dunbar |
I took Social Inclusion at 8-1 on Bovada on Tuesday night. Come Weds AM they had adjusted it to 6-1 and then the race went off the board when the ML odds came out. I like the 8-1 value a lot.
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Likely there will be some sucker that plays Danza or Strong Mandate and I'd guess, knowing SportsInteraction's reputation, that the bet will be handled like futures, no refund.
Very good price on Social Inclusion, Intense, good job. |
Here are the odds several hours later... (the 2nd fig by each horse)
Chrome is -160, which is 5-8. Horse , Odds Dynamic Impact, 20, 18 General a Rod, 20, 27 Calif Chrome, 5-8, 5-8 Ring Weekend, 30, 37 Bayern, 13, 15 Ria Antonia, 22, 26 Kid Cruz, 15, 19 Social Inclusion, 6, 6.25 Pablo del Monte, 27.5, 25 Ride On Curlin, 20, 15 There are matchups, too. I thought this was surprising: California Chrome -600 Ria Antonia +400 So you only get 4-1 if you bet Ria Antonia will finish in front of Chrome. And you only have to lay 6-1 to get Chrome ahead of Ria Antonia. Here are some other head-to-head matchups: Sat 5/17 819 Dynamic Impact -125 6:15PM 820 General a Rod -105 Sat 5/17 823 Dynamic Impact +100 6:15PM 824 Bayern -130 Sat 5/17 833 Dynamic Impact +100 6:15PM 834 Ride On Curlin -130 Sat 5/17 837 General a Rod +110 6:15PM 838 Bayern -140 Sat 5/17 869 Bayern -110 6:15PM 870 Ride On Curlin -120 Sat 5/17 881 Kid Cruz -150 6:15PM 882 Pablo Del Monte +120 I like Ride On Curlin over Bayern. And then the weird combos: 10 horse field must run for action Sat 5/17 121 Saddlecloth of winning horse odd -350 6:15PM 122 Saddlecloth of winning horse even +260 Sat 5/17 123 Saddlecloth of winning horse is 1-5 -310 6:15PM 124 Saddlecloth of winning horse is 6-10 +255 Sat 5/17 125 Winning horses name starts with A-M -345 6:15PM 126 Winning horses name starts with N-Z +285 --Dunbar |
What do you think of this prop?
Will California Chrome win the 2014 Triple Crown 1001 Yes +225 1002 No -275 * Note: California Chrome must start Preakness for action |
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105 California Chrome wins Preakness -155 106 Field wins Preakness +135 The odds were +125 a couple of days ago, climbed to +140 yesterday, and gave way a little to +135 today. IMO, Chrome shouldn't be favored over the field at all. --Dunbar |
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