Derby Trail Forums - SAT - Churchill Downs (Derby Day)

Churchill Downs - Happy Derby Day

R1 - Starter Alw 30k

#6 Prosecution (5-1) 2ND
#3 Nick's Pick (7-2)
#2 Upkeep (5-2) 3RD
#5 Professor Trek (20-1)

R2 - OC 75k/N1X

#3 Shiekinator (8-1) 2ND
#1 No Surrender (5-1) WON $4.20
#5 Demander (7-2) 4TH
#7 Rockford (3-1)

R3 - MSW 60k

#8 A Touch of Poetry (5-1) -3RD
#9 Coastal Moon (3-1)
#3 Q Two (6-1)
#1 Masochistic (4-1) WON $6.20

R4 - Alw 65k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#6 Sultry Warrior (20-1)
#5 Night Song (6-1) 4TH
#8 First Romance (12-1)
#10 Kyriaki (3-1)

R5 - OC 75k/N1X

#7 Thundergram (6-1) 4TH
#11 Sultry Cat (4-1)
#8 Ulanbator (5-1) 3RD
#9 Jessica's Star (8-1) WON $10.80

PK4 - 1 3 5 7 / 3 8 9 / 5 6 8 10 / 7 11 = $48 for $.50

R6 - G2 Distaff Turf Mile (Turf 8F)

#2 Coffee Clique (12-1) WON $13.80
#9 Centre Court (7-5)
#8 Effie Trinket (6-1) 3RD
#7 Regal Signal (12-1) 4TH

R7 - G1 Humana Distaff

#8 Midnight Lucky (5-2) WON $5.20
#5 Scherzinger (7-2) 3RD
#7 Speedinthruthecity (15-1)

PK4 - 4 5 6 7 8 10 / 2 7 8 9 11 / 2 9 / 8 = $50 for $.50

R8 - G2 American Turf (Turf 8.5F)

#10 Picozza (5-1) - Continues improving and has handled an outside draw.
#8 Storming Inti (4-1) - Looks to be forwardly placed throughout. 2ND
#2 Chief Barker (Ire) (5-1) - Euro import was seeen in a Group 1. 1st time Lasix
#7 Big Bazinga (12-1) - Saves some ground and makes a late run for a piece.

R9 - G2 Churchill Downs

#9 Central Banker (8-1) -BEST BET Legit excuse in G1 Carter when breaking from the rail. Draws perfectly and check out the bullet best of 84 workout last Saturday. All systems go. WON $23.60
#8 Falling Sky (10-1) - Runs well fresh and catch a flyer from the gate.
#4 Sahara Sky (4-1) - Brings it no matter what track. Much respect.
#7 River Bear (20-1) - Takes back and uncorks a late rally.

R10 - G1 Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (Turf 9F)

#1 Wise Dan (4-5) - It seems just silly to go against him at this point. No signs of weakness. WON $3.00
#2 Bright Thought (20-1) - If left alone on the lead, Johnny V will ask Wise Dan for his best.
#5 Kaigun (8-1) - Razor sharp right now and has to be used underneath. 3RD
#7 Boisterous (8-1) - Nice return and G1 winner is capable at this distance.

R11 - G1 Kentucky Derby

#1 Vicar's in Trouble (15-1) - Draws the dreaded rail and Rosie will have her hands full.
#2 Harry's Holiday (50-1) - Seems overmatched versus this field.
#3 Uncle Sigh (30-1) - Interesting price play, but must step up his game.
#4 Danza (8-1) - Eye popping performance in Arkansas Derby and could be getting better. Dangerous.
#5 California Chrome (5-2) - Stands out on paper, but must prove it on the biggest stage. Siding against.
#6 Samraat (15-1) - Tough customer might not want to keep this type of company.
#7 We Miss Artie (30-1) - Should be starting in the American Turf race earlier in the card.
#8 General a Rod (20-1) - Have to wonder how much did those big efforts at Gulfstream take out of him.
#9 Vinceremos (50-1) - Throw out the synthetic try and he still has some work to do.
#10 Wildcat Red (20-1) - Gutsy as they come, but just looks as a pace presence at this point.
#12 Dance With Fate (15-1) - Good looking colt must answer the question about the dirt. Using underneath.
#13 Chitu (30-1) - Tricky read after bypassing Derby Trial last week. Speed factor.
#14 Medal Count (20-1) - Hard to argue Roman's success in this race.
#15 Tapiture (12-1) - Had starting spot secured prior to Arky Derby and is being a bit ignored. Have a feeling he's sitting on a big one.
#16 Intense Holiday (8-1) - Has picked up a lot of steam since arriving to Churchill. Grinder is a must use underneath.
#17 Commanding Curve (30-1) - Big closer will need perfect trip to add some spice to bottom of exotics.
#18 Candy Boy (15-1) - Stevens stated that he would take him back early, which should really produce a move that could end up draped in roses.
#19 Ride On Curlin (20-1) - Definitely has the right style and jockey to be successful in this spot.
#20 Wicked Strong (8-1) - Keeps chugging away and another step forward will get it done.

Selections:

#15 Tapiture
#4 Danza 3RD
#18 Candy Boy
#20 Wicked Strong 4TH
#12 Dance With Fate

PK5 - 2 8 / 2 3 8 10 11 / 9 / 1 2 / 4 5 12 15 16 18 20 = $70 for $.50

PK4 - 2 3 8 10 11 / 2 4 8 9 11 / 1 2 / 4 15 = $50 for $.50

Oaks/Derby Double - $10 Double - 9 13 / 4 15 = $40

Oaks/Derby Double - $2 Double - 1 3 5 6 9 11 13 / 4 15 18 = $42

PK3 Oaks/Woodford/Derby - 9 13 / 1 2 / 4 15 18 = $12 (Punch it a few times)

R12 - OC 62k/N2X

#2 Platitude (6-1)
#1 Sandbar (12-1) 3RD
#3 Slan Abhaile (7-2) 4TH
#6 Positively (6-1)

R13 - MSW 60k

#1 Party Time (3-1)
#8 Rocket Time (15-1) 3RD
#2 C J's Awesome (9-2) 2ND
#3 Saa Mi (9-2) WON $20.60

PK4 - 1 2 / 4 5 18 / 1 2 3 4 6 7 / 1 2 8 = $54 for $.50

Good Racing Luck