Derby Trail Forums - 4/13: Santa Anita (4th-9th)

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: 66th Santa Barbara (G3), F&N-4+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD)

2.5 turn turf stake lacks much pace definition with Changethechannel and Miss Serendipiity the ones with early lick. Stormy Lucy (now with Moger) and Customer Base (Proctor/Glen Hill) the class of the field and Drysdale's Topic (8-1) the interesting price consideration..

Most Likely: #7 Customer Base 5-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Topic 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Stormy Lucy 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Serendipity 7-2 2nd

5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3)

Pacey Big Kick might be dangerous on front end but expect Cat Burglar stays close and has first run ahead of mid-pack stalking units Omega Star and Governor Charlie..

Most Likely: #3 Cat Burglar 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Omega Star 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Governor Charlie 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Big Kick 5-1 4th

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3)

Key to this downhill ALW is inside players Oliver's Tale and re-blinkered Cacau aswell as Cal-bred last out winner Major Truth. Oliver's Tale is speedy (ran within half of Points Offthebench in '13) and puts back-to-back starts together for first time in a year today. Hood produced career best try from Cacau 2 back and Almeida puts the hood back on for this.

Most Likely: #1 Oliver's Tale 7-2 WON ($11.40)
Best Value: #8 Monument 9-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Kochees 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Hawkedon 5-1 2nd

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P3)

Tricky looking MCLM starter and I think you want a stranger. Romar Success missed entire 3yo season and returns in hands of savvy Powell off series of sharp drills. Has a rite to have developed past anything here. Smells like new money..

Best Value: #10 ROMAR SUCCESS 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Remind Mee 9-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Head South 6-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Market Notes 12-1 6th

8th: 47th San Simeon (G3), 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Fun edition of this. Pataky Kid (12-1) makes 4yo bow and may be perfect for this course..

Best Value: #2 Pataky Kid 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Lakerville 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sweet Swap 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Chiloquin 6-1 7th

9th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 A Little Luckier 5-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Kid Rollins 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Itsabeautifulday 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Nonna Reese 5-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #6 Cleverly Beverly 9-2 4th

$1 Exact 5 (3-8-4-6-5) Paid $1,295.60

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 2,8 with 5 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 5,8 with 10 with 2,8 with 5 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 5 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 3,5 with 5 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 2,8 with 3,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 5 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 10 with 3,5 with 5 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 10 with 2,8 with 3,8 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,9 with 3,5 with 5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 3,8 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 3,5 with 3,8 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,10 with 10 with 2,8 with 5 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,2,5,8,12 with 2,8 with 5 - $5.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 2,8 with 4,6 - $2.00

Total: $45.00

Good luck!
Steve