Derby Trail Forums - 9/13: Belmont Park ($27k C/O)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

2PM: 9TH RACE NOW OFF THE TURF

1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Jess Not Jesse 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Thomas Hill 5-1 WON ($16.80)
Next Best: #3 Decisive Move 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Image of Disco 7-2 5th

2nd: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 East Coast Express 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Tizallheart 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Always Home 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Super Add: #1 Bunhead 10-1 5th

3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Here He Fitz is key to this race as the one who can put pressure on the other speed, Privatize. Was interested in Here He Fitz with advantageous outside position, but obvious gap in worktab over summer leaves question as to readiness to take things to the wire. Net result is opportunity for Privatize to be softened up for visits by stalker-closers..

Best Value: #4 King Wando 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Jesses Giant Dunk 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Privatize 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Bernardo 3-1 WON ($7.90)

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

$27k P6 C/O starts here..

Assuming the grass runners SCR out, Quiet Sunshine can wire this group if Saez gets her to the front..

Most Likely: #12 Guyana Princess 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Quiet Sunshine 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Sense of a Woman 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #13 Silver Prize 5-1 6th

5th: MCLM/$35k, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Small but very slippery group.. SCR Team Lazarus..

Best Value: #5 Pass the Tap 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Let's Have Us One 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Navajo Ca Lo 10-1 5th

<$40 P4 Play:

1: 5
2: 1-3-4-7-8
3: 2-3-4
4: 9-12
5: 1-2-3-4-5

1x5x3x1x5 = 75 x .50 = $36.50

@$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-7-8
3: 2-3-4
4: 9-12
5: 1-2-3-4-5

5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Hard to know who takes to turf with cut..

Most Likely: #5 High Heel Kitten 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Morethanawarning 6-1 WON ($17.40)
Next Best: #6 Spangled Banner 3-1 3th
Exotics Use: #2 Sabbatical 10-1 7th

7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Tiz for Tat will wait for seemingly tougher spot Saturday..

Best Value: #3 Quinby Pete 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #5 Distorted Dream 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Clever Story 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Moonluck 15-1 2nd

8th: NY-OC/N1X, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Summer Place to Be 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Junior Officer 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Alcolite 5-1 3rd

9th: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #7 Brown Indian 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Precious Metal 6-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #2b Dual Citizen 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Pasta Lover 12-1 5th

<$250 P6 Play:

4: 9-12
5: 1-2-3-4-5
6: 5-6-8
7: 3-5
8: 4
9: 7-9

2x5x3x2x1x2 = 120 x $2 = $240

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-5-6-7-8
7: 3-5
8: 2-3-4
9: 2-5-7-9

6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve