Derby Trail Forums - 7/25: Saratoga (Day 6-Quick Call)

Intense afternoon and evening of action Wednesday as the 2 carryover sequences provided the requisite intrigue. In NY, the series of plausible but tricky to knit winners provided a return of nearly $61k while the Cali skein was more mundane and brought back $15,677. I was awful negotiating the Saratoga sextet, misinterpreting pace scenarios and landing on wrong horses left and right.

The Del Mar action helped recoup some of my Spa losses, particularly hooking the 3rd when 40-1 Oso Smart photoed for show and a $250 tri ($1). As discussed with Brad Free, the $8,000 claiming 4th and MCLM 5th were the quirky races to hurdle in the DMR six and 3rd choices Jim's No Preacher ($14.00) and Tom Kha ($11.80) effectively buried rivals. Big thanks are due Free who gave ATR listeners a roadmap to all 6 winners, especially the Mandella runners Station House and Indy Point.

Hope everyone enjoyed the day and did OK! It's Thursday at the Spa and the NSA takes the stage with the first jump race of the year, the Jonathon Kiser..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: J. Kiser Novce S., 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Clorevia entry 7-2 3rd/5th
Next Best: #2 Martini Bomber 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #8 Constant Contact 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Sulwaan 10-1 6th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Corfu 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #6 Pure Sensation 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Aarons Orient 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Crescent 10-1 3rd

3rd: MCLM/$75k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Will cover #1 Chase My Tail in the multis..

Best Value: #2 Thundering Gale 4-1 6th
Next Best: #4 She's Coal Fired 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Little Miss Brown 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Chase My Tail 3-1 WON ($9.60)

4th: Lottsa Talc-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Willet 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Jitney 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Beautiful But Blue 7-2 DNF-Eased

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Our Amazing Rose 3-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #5 Zip On 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Jerry Love 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Feels So Right 8-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1 (6)
3: 1-2-4-7
4: 5 (1-3-4)
5: 6 (5)

1x4x1x1 = 4 x $4 = $16
2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Very nice group and a real chess match..

Most Likely: #8 Concise 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sweet Shirley Mae 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 White Rose 5-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Precarious 3-1 6th

7th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Pan Dulce 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Viva Allegiance 8-1 WON ($14.60)
Next Best: #9 It's Your Dime 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Coralita 9-2 2nd

8th: Quick Call, 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Intriguing group. Will be interesting to see what the board does with these..

Best Value: #4 Central Banker 8-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #8 The Brothers War 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Strike the Note 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 No Distinction 7-2 2nd

9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Holiday's Jewel 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #8 Zencat 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Beverage Queen 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Casual Elegance 4-1 9th

10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #3 Decisive Move 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #8 Saturdayatbernies 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Shadow Rock 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Channel Marker 3-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-8
8: 3-4-7-8
9: 3-8-10
10: 2-3-5-8-9

2x4x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/4/3,11,12/3) Paid $289.00

Good luck!
Steve