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-   -   7/7: Woodbine/154th Queen's Plate (6th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=51162)

Kasept 07-07-2013 07:38 AM

7/7: Woodbine/154th Queen's Plate (6th-11th)
 
Felt like I was on the way to a big day catching $51.50 'Best Value' Status of Forces in BEL opener, $150 early P4 and opening Summit sets, but series of losses in second half of cards at both venues dampened the ardor. Had great fun at what may be the last Summit of Speed at Calder and the day's highlight undoubtedly was the reboot of Jackson's Bend career with his big Smile performance. Lots of thoughts about Saturday's action and the Florida situation but they will wait for radio Monday. Queen's Plate Day in TO and a challenging P4 sequence should be fruitful if you can beat the chalks. Hope everyone did OK Saturday!


WOODBINE


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 18th Dance Smartly (G2), F&M-3+, 9f-T (.20 P3)

Best Value: #5 Moment of Majesty 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Irish Mission 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Coffee Clique 8-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Solid Appeal 9-2 WON ($13.10)


7th: ON-ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f (.20 P3)

Most Likely: #4 Monclava 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Queenstown 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Best Gift of All 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Cautious 7-2 5th


8th: 9th Singspiel (G3), 3+, 12f-T (.20 P4, .20 P3)

Most Likely: #9 Fifty Proof 9-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Aldous Snow 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Forte Del Marmi 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Perfect Timber 10-1 2nd


9th: 60th Highlander (G2), 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF/LATE (.20 P3)

Rothko is by Arch and the move to the turf may be exactly the tonic the Padua homebred needs..

Best Value: #2 Rothko 12-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Night Officer 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #4 Big Band Sound 10-1 8th


10th: 154th Queen's Plate, 3yo, 10f (.20 P3)

Taut edition of this North American standard. The fillies excel in this race and I'd use both. Casse overdue for a Plate, but even with 4 in here, no guarantees today..

Most Likely: #7 Up With the Birds 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Spring in the Air 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Nipissing 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 His Race to Win 10-1 8th


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Phil's Dream 6-1 WON ($10.90)
Next Best: #3 Rei 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Raincoats'ntuxedos 4-1 -
Super Add: #8 Mercenary 9-2 3rd


P4 Play:

8: 2-6-8-9
9: 1-2-4-9-10 ("ALL" with event off turf late)
10: 2-4-7-9-11
11: 1-3-6

4x5x5x3 = 300 x .20 = $60


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-07-2013 10:43 AM

WO SCR/CHG'S

tanner12oz 07-07-2013 12:29 PM

I love Rothko today and feel 12-1 is nuts

tanner12oz 07-07-2013 03:29 PM

Conditions look atrocious at woodbine

Kasept 07-07-2013 03:45 PM

Woodbine taking Highlander OFF the turf due to conditions. 'All' for P4/P3 plays.. Everyone running.

tanner12oz 07-07-2013 03:56 PM

Effect on Rothko? I don't like it. Didn't really like the soft turf though either


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