Derby Trail Forums - 7/4: Belmont Park (1st-10th)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Escapefromreality 7-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #8 Ambassador Bridge 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Leilani's Ticket 3-1 4th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Unraced juvies with few clues. Pletcher (1 Ramsey, 1 Starlight) & Albertrani (1 Baker/Mack, 1 Live Oak) will each run 2, with Smooth Daddy (Albertrani) a half to good win early sibs Prairie Charm & Prairie Lites. If Kingofgoldstreet is the Live Oak runner, he is 2nd foal out of the Zito-trained GSW In the Gold. Parent (KMc, Darley) is from the Stonerside line being out of Issaqueena, dam of MGSW Tizaqueena (Stidham). Working well, but being by A.P. Indy, it would be a surprise if he popped at first ask going 5/8ths. Watch board for clues here..

Best Value: #4 Smooth Daddy 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 All in Blue 2-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #2 We Miss Artie 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Patent 4-1 5th

3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Native Singer 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Bernardo 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Street Lord 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Here He Fitz 7-2 5th

4th: Eventail-NY, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Torn up by SCR's..

Most Likely: #5 Discreet Marq 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #7 Roses for Romney 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Unbelievable Dream 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Adriatic Dream 12-1 2nd

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

More 2yo's but more clues here with turf involved. How about the ultimate Melnyk homebred debuting on the rail? A Flower Alley filly out of Sealy Hill! Personal favorite alert for me as Fast Cookie gets her 2nd foal on the track, a Darley Tapit grey, Macaroon..

Most Likely: #5 Richies Party Girl 7-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Acquaint 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Ready's Legend 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Macaroon 8-1 5th

<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-4-5
3: 4-5-6-7
4: 3-5-7
5: 5-7-8-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/5/1,4,5,6,9/5,6) Paid $65.25

6th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Thepowersthatbe 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 White Crane 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Run a Dubb Dubb 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Notesfromabroad 4-1 8th

7th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lawless Miss 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #1 Liz Lemon 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Mah Jong Maddnes 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Normandy 9-2 6th

8th: Fairy Garden, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Samitar obviously can win and maybe she wins easily, but 9-5 or thereabouts is a big underlay..

Most Likely: #3 Future Generation 7-2 6th
Next Best: #8 Samitar 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Silver Screamer 15-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Baffle Me 15-1 2nd

9th: Poker (G3), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Data Link 6-5 4th
Best Value: #5 Lubash 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 King Kreesa 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Howe Great 6-1 2nd

10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #1 Scotus 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Wishingonadream 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Radiohead 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Unaccountable 4-1 3rd

<$25 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-3-4-6-8
8: 3-8
9: 4
10: 1-3-5-9

6x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve