Derby Trail Forums - SAT - Churchill Downs (Derby Day Entire Card)

Churchill Downs - Happy Derby Day POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM 90% RAIN

R1 - OC 62k/N2X

#3 Glamour Puss (2-1) WON $7.40
#4 Flashy American (8-1) 4TH
#1 Apropos (8-5) 3RD
#6 Honey Hues (6-1)

R2 - OC 75k/N1X

#5 Finn's Quest (6-1) - Could end being a nice closing sprinter.
#2 Gombey Dancer (7-2) 4TH
#8 Slan Abhaile (5-2) 2ND
#1 River Rocks (3-1) 3RD

R3 - OC 80k/N3X (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Atigun (4-1) WON $13.00
#6 Screenplay (3-1) 3RD
#4 Under Control (6-1) 2ND
#1 Old Time Hockey (5-2) 4TH

R4 - MSW 50k

#4 King of Broadway (5-1)
#3 Saint X. (3-1) 3RD
#12 Troubadour Tango (5-1) 2ND
#2 Indy Awesome (8-1)

R5 - OC 75k/N1X

#12 Hard Aces (12-1)
#8 Code West (7-5) 2ND
#3 Perfect Title (6-1) 4TH
#4 Bellarmine (8-1) WON $25.20

PK4 - 2 5 / 1 3 5 6 / 3 4 5 8 12 / 8 12 = $40 for $.50

R6 - G3 Turf Sprint (Turf 5F)

#4 Ghost Is Clear (9-2)
#2 Havelock (7-2)
#8 Icon Ike (3-1)
#1 Southern Dude (10-1) 3RD

R7 - G1 Humana Distaff

#8 Byrama (GB) (5-1)
#2 Rumor (5-2)
#3 Same Cross (8-1)
#6 Aubby K (7-2) WON $9.20

R8 - Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (Turf 8F)

#5 Hungry Island (4-1) - BEST BET - Absolutely love her chances and should sit a perfect trip. 2ND
#7 Karlovy Vary (12-1) -
#4 Frontside (30-1)
#3 Daisy Devine (3-1) 3RD

R9 - G2 Churchill Downs

#2 Hierro (10-1) - It feels that this has been the plan all along and a big performance is expected on favorite surface.
#5 Unbridled Note (5-1)
#9 Delaunay (2-1) WON $5.80
#7 Politicallycorrect (15-1)

R10 - Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (Turf 9F) - Fantastic race with two of the best horses in training.

#9 Point of Entry (7-5) - Handled Animal Kingdom at Gulfstream and it doesn't get any easier with Horse of the Year to his inside. LATE SCRATCH
#8 Wise Dan (6-5) - Champ will stretchout a bit and give his best. WON $3.20
#2 Slim Shadey (GB) (12-1) - Has the remote possibility to sneak away from top two and score at a big number.
#3 Optimizer (20-1) - Return to Turf helps. 2ND

PK3 - 5 / 2 5 / 2 8 9 = Punch it a few times

R11 - G1 Kentucky Derby

#1 Black Onyx - SCRATCHED
#2 Oxbow (30-1) - Post obviously hurts chances, but expect Stevens to send right away and splash the others.
#3 Revolutionary (10-1) - Has shown the killer instinct of getting to the wire first after a few maiden tries. Borel factor will bring down the price. 3RD
#4 Golden Soul (50-1) - Should relish the extra distance and don't discount ability to blow up the bottom of a Super or Super High Five. 2ND
#5 Normandy Invasion (12-1) - Strong finish in Wood Memorial attracted plenty of bandwagoners. Logical contender. 4TH
#6 Mylute (15-1) - A big question with the extra furlong to deal with.
#7 Giant Finish (50-1) - New York bred is in deep waters.
#8 Goldencents (5-1) - Coming off Big Santa Anita Derby win. Interesting to see how 1st time Derby jockey will handle the situation.
#9 Overanalyze (15-1) - Has a pattern going - Good race - Bad race throughout his running lines and unfortunately it's time for a Bad race.
#10 Palice Malice (20-1) - Adds hood and should not be ignored to round out bottom of exotics.
#11 Lines of Battle (30-1) - Complete wildcard, add Lasix and there's a bunch of talent from the Dam's family. Interesting especially at a huge price.
#12 Itsmyluckyday (15-1) - Has shown the ability and seems to be peaking at the right moment.
#13 Falling Sky (50-1) - Speedster will take them as long as he can before the anchor comes out.
#14 Verrazano (4-1) - Undefeated talented runner has never seen the whip and I have the feeling there's more in the tank. Dangerous
#15 Charming Kitten (20-1) - Turf horse will probably finish mid pack at best.
#16 Orb (7-2) - He's the one everyone will fear late with legitimate reasons. Just needs to work out a trip. WON
#17 Will Take Charge (20-1) - 9 week layoff is a concern for this type of race. Pass
#18 Frac Daddy (50-1) - Ridiculous price for a runner that seems to be improving and loves the surface. Playable.
#19 Java's War (15-1) - Usually walks out of the gate, but has lethal closing kick that could make things interesting late.
#20 Vyjack (15-1) - Has only one lost in career and it was encouraging to see him continue running to the wire in Wood Memorial. Tough post to deal with.

Selections

#12 Itsmyluckyday (15-1)
#14 Verrazano (4-1)
#16 Orb (7-2) WON
#11 Lines of Battle (30-1)
#18 Frac Daddy (50-1)

Super High Five - 12 / 11 14 16 18

PK6 - 1 2 4 8 / 2 8 / 5 / 2 5 / 9 / 11 12 14 16 18 = $160

PK5 - 1 2 3 6 8 / 5 / 2 5 9 / 2 8 9 / 11 12 14 16 = $90 for $.50

PK4 - 4 5 7 / 2 5 9 / 2 8 9 / 11 12 14 16 = $54 for $.50

R12 - OC 62k/N2X

#6 Looking Cool (10-1)
#2 Rightfully So (3-1)
#8 Bull Dozer (4-1)
#1 Wash Park (15-1)

R13 - MSW 50k

#1 Pontiff (7-2)
#12 To the Stars (6-1)
#6 Best Request (10-1)
#8 Lifes Reward (6-1)

PK4 - 2 8 9 / 11 12 14 16 18 / 2 6 / 1 6 12 = $45 for $.50

Good Racing Luck