Derby Trail Forums - 3/14: Aqueduct ($28k C/O); Santa Anita ($94k C/O)

AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$28k C/O starts here..

This isn't as much of a slam dunk as having a 2-5 favorite might indicate. Smoldering Beauty is going to get the lead here and Cluster of Stars is going to to have to negotiate the #1 hole..

Most Likely: #1 Cluster of Stars 2-5 (A) WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #3 Smoldering Beauty 5-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #5 McCarren Park 10-1 (X) 4th

5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Now a 4 horse field and you might have to use all 4..

Most Likely: #1 Hewitts 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sensational Slam WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Straight Fax 4th

6th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Belief System 9-5 (A) WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #11 Spectacular Act 5-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #4 El Dreamer 4-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Antone Suavey 15-1 (C) 3rd

7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Motion Lounge 2-1 (A) 9th
Next Best: #4 Ibid 5-2 (B) 8th
Best Value: #2 Kitten's Kitten 15-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #6 She's Always Hot 10-1 (C) 2nd

8th: S/HCP, 4+, 1m-70y (DD)

Jacobson brings Cayambe SCR'D right back a week after he demolished similar in first Eastern exhibition. If he faulters, it could be absolutely anyone else including the quintet exiting the 2/10 starter (#'s 1-2-5-7-8)..

Most Likely: #1 Itsagoodtendollars 5-1 (A) WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #8 Chairman Now 7-2 (B) 6th
Best Value: #2 Best Actor 20-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Sacred Ground 5-1 (C) 2nd

9th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m

Most Likely: #7 Cherylwithans 3-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #5 Madison Ave. Jo Jo 2-1 (B) 7th
Best Value: #1 Winmor Gold 5-1 (C) 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Im a Rockstar Diva 7-2 (C) WON ($13.20)

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1
5: 1-3-5-7
6: 2
7: 2-3-4
8: 1-2-8
9: 5-7

1x4x1x3x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-11
7: 2-3-4
8: 1-2-4-5-7-8
9: 1-4-5-7

2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 4yo-F, 1m-T/30' (P6, P3, DD)

$94k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Mia Isabel 5-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Thermal Nermal 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #6 Gittel 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Four Better 6-1 2nd

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Black Witch 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #5 Elegant in Silk 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Temptress 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Iconic Spirit 3-1 2nd

5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T/30'

Most Likely: #2 Van Brit 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Bonita Star 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Lily's Perfect 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Eyes On the Prize 5-1 7th

6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Exceedingly well-matched group. Hard to cross any out..

Most Likely: #1 Luckarack 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Courtside 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Blue Jay Attack 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Close to the Edge 4-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Stoneside 7-2 6th

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Best Present Ever 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Esentepe 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Sciarapelli 9-2 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #6 Jet Blue Girl 6-1 5th

8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Catquest 8-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #2 Unmarked Bills 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Shot of Chaya 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Deception Free 3-1 4th

<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-2
4: 2-5-7-8
5: 2
6: 1-5
7: 3-8
8: 2-7-11

2x4x1x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 2
6: 1-2-3-5-7-8
7: 3-6-7-8
8: 1-2-7-11

1x6x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

Good luck!
Steve