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-   -   2/15: Aqueduct ($23k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49971)

Kasept 02-15-2013 06:57 AM

2/15: Aqueduct ($23k C/O)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Quirky 3yo conditions and cast assembled is just as idiosyncratic. Looks like there's no shortage of pace lined up..

SCR: #6 S'maverlous 5-2

Most Likely: #8 Leilani's Ticket 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wild Finish 8-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #7 Chapman 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Brother Bob 5-1 4th


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

3-5 impossible to take on Simplistic who doesn't feel remotely reliable in this group of suspects. Luvacat makes 2nd start and has the most upside. Golden Cheetah hasn't proven herself hopeless yet and Louder Than Sound almost has..

Most Likely: #3 Simplistic 3-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #6 Luvacat 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Golden Cheetah 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Louder Than Sound 8-1 3rd


7th: NY-OC/C, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Jerusalem Stone 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Frosty Bay 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Miss Da Point 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Run a Dubb Dubb 4-1 5th


8th: OC/C, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Centrique 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Coco Ecolo 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Hard Life 4-1 3rd


9th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Tricky set. Not a lot separating the entire group..

Most Likely: #2 Gritty Gal 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Rice to Riches 12-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Sweet Sway 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Agualinda 4-1 4th


10th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Be aware that #13 (AE) Christopher's Joy (4-1) has potential to impact this should he get in..

Most Likely: #5 Talented Whiz 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #13 Christopher's Joy 4-1 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #10 Jemaru 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Galaxy Kat 12-1 4th


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-7-8
6: 3-6
7: 2-3
8: 2
9: 2-5-6
10: 5-13

3x2x2x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5-7
8: 2-4-5
9: 2-4-5-6
10: 5-10-13

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72.00


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 02-15-2013 08:39 AM

GULFSTREAM IS OFF THE TURF TODAY

Kasept 02-15-2013 10:14 AM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

fantini33 02-15-2013 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 915894)
GULFSTREAM IS OFF THE TURF TODAY

RAINBOW DAY! Tons of people may pass on this card today.

Kasept 02-15-2013 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 915917)
RAINBOW DAY! Tons of people may pass on this card today.

You were dead on! The 15 was alive for the pot.

Kasept 02-15-2013 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 915917)
RAINBOW DAY! Tons of people may pass on this card today.

You were dead on.. 15 would have taken the pot!


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