Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   2/10: Gulfstream (4th-11th); Santa Anita ($97k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49933)

Kasept 02-10-2013 05:52 AM

2/10: Gulfstream (4th-11th); Santa Anita ($97k C/O)
 
GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Flashy Gray 2-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #6 Heart Stealer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sweet Shirley Mae 8-5 3rd


5th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T/48' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dark Cove 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #7 Minnie Punt 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Political Courage 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Nineinthenine 4-1 2nd


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$2,025,390 Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Most Likely: #10 On the Key 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Songa 15-1 WON ($37.00)
Next Best: #7 G. T. Tabu 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Abadoy 12-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD)

A group from similar 1/16 heat return and they seem interchangeable. In Haste and Swear Me In make surface switches that seem feasible and are prices. Wide open..

Best Value: #2 In Haste 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 I Know It All 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Swear Me In 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Rhythm Queen 3-1 8th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ruffalex 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Hippster 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Celebrator 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Go Canes Go 5-1 WON ($22.60)


9th: MSW, 4+, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Present Course 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Al's Uncle 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 State Flag 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Tiz a Homerun 8-1 4th


10th: 15th Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD)

SCR #4 Spectacular Sky who won the Manatee at TAM yesterday..

Most Likely: #2 R Holiday Mood 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Fantasy of Flight 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Golden Mystery 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Emma's Encore 5-1 5th


11th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

$14,967 Super Hi-5 C/O

Most Likely: #11 Mae Ruler 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Si Senora 4-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Trippi Honor 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Missy Miner 8-1 WON ($17.80)
Hi-5 Play: #4 Kristina's Slew 6-1 4th


<$30 P6 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-2-4-5-8-9
8: 5-7-8-9
9: 2-8-9
10: 2-5-6-9
11: 11

1x6x4x3x4x1 = 288 x .10 = $28.80


<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-2-8
8: 5-7-8-9
9: 2-8-9
10: 2-5-6-9
11: 11

3x4x2x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 5-7-8
9: 2-8-9
10: 2-5-6-9
11: 5-6-8-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/2,13,14,15,16/3,4,6/5) Paid $1,013.80



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$97k P6 C/O

Most Likely: #9 Ocean's of Money 3-1 (A) WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #1 Charm Catcher 5-2 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #7 Joeandbetty'sbaby 10-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Parc Monceau 5-1 (C) 8th


5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Max Cooper 3-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #3 Bay Rush 5-2 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Muchos Besos 6-1 (C) WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #7 Deal 'Em 10-1 (C) 5th


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Super competitive with what seems like a lot of speed signed on. Key to the P6 and tricky start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #1 Guest Star 2-1 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #5 Hawkedon 12-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #8 Summer Hit 3-1 (B) WON ($6.80)

"C's": #6 Kir 4-1 7th; #13 Fordham Road 8-1 8th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Roar Baby Roar 5-2 (A) 4th
Best Value: #2 Conkate 5-1 (B) WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #7 Appealing Resume 3-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Granny Calling 9-2 (C) 2nd


8th: 9th Wishing Well-R, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Stake is 3rd downhill event of sequence and mighty contentious..

Best Value: #11 Schiarapelli 6-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #5 Nechez Dawn 7-2 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Byrama 9-2 (B) 3rd

"C's": #2 Rumor 5-1 7th; #10 Purim's Dancer 6-1 WON ($8.40)


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Warren's Flasher 4-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Racy Rosa 8-5 (A) WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Tiz Lovely 5-2 (B) 7th
Best Value: #4 Warren's My Queen 12-1 (C) 3rd
Super Add: #7 My Yammy Heat 8-1 (C) 5th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-9
5: 1
6: 1-5-8
7: 2-3
8: 1-5-11
9: 2-10

2x1x3x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-5-8
7: 2-3-4-7
8: 1-5-11
9: 2-4-8-10

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

jms62 02-10-2013 07:21 AM

Steve.. Any chance you can get to the bottom of why NJ bets doesn't offer the Rainbow 6 and report on ATR? When I inquired I was told "Because of the way it pays out" which I find absurd since other ADW's offer it. At this point the P6 share pay out so well IMO it is worth not playing the P4 and throwing that money at the 6 looking for a share. Thoughts?

hondo 02-10-2013 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 915401)
Steve.. Any chance you can get to the bottom of why NJ bets doesn't offer the Rainbow 6 and report on ATR? When I inquired I was told "Because of the way it pays out" which I find absurd since other ADW's offer it. At this point the P6 share pay out so well IMO it is worth not playing the P4 and throwing that money at the 6 looking for a share. Thoughts?

JMS62

I discovered the same thing last week and was going to call them. Their explanation makes no sense. Why should they care? They are paying out what the track pays and they still get their "cut" on what ever is bet at 4NJBETS. If they are so worried about how it pays out then why do the carry tracks like PARX that "hose" the bettor on some of their take outs.:zz::zz:

jms62 02-10-2013 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hondo (Post 915404)
JMS62

I discovered the same thing last week and was going to call them. Their explanation makes no sense. Why should they care? They are paying out what the track pays and they still get their "cut" on what ever is bet at 4NJBETS. If they are so worried about how it pays out then why do the carry tracks like PARX that "hose" the bettor on some of their take outs.:zz::zz:

I took the "How it pays out" on the entire pool (only if a single winner) as a technical issue with their software rather then NJBets looking out for my interest as to takeout.

hondo 02-10-2013 08:34 AM

:
Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 915405)
I took the "How it pays out" on the entire pool (only if a single winner) as a technical issue with their software rather then NJBets looking out for my interest as to takeout.

:eek:Wow that even makes me feel even worse that it may be a software issue on their side. I would think the programs controlling the odds and payouts are the track location computers and the ADWs computers are logging bets and communicating transactions/payouts back and forth with the different tracks......but who knows it is Jersey;)

Kasept 02-10-2013 10:12 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

ADJMK 02-10-2013 10:45 AM

Hunch bet of the day.

GP race 9:

#7 Mr. William
Lisa Lewis always seems to fire with a first time starter bomb and I am guessing this one might be a good one if it is named after Mr Scettine who has had lots of horses with her.

Kasept 02-10-2013 12:21 PM

SA SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 02-10-2013 04:17 PM

2, 4, 7, 8 take down the 2,451,147.03..

jms62 02-10-2013 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 915485)
2, 4, 7, 8 take down the 2,451,147.03..

The 8 will bring home a very healthy P4 for you ... Good Luck!

jms62 02-10-2013 04:41 PM

Awright Steve!! Second Best Scenario... And we got another Carry to boot.

casp0555 02-10-2013 04:45 PM

Great job today at GP Steve! GL at SA! :tro:

atolunch 02-10-2013 04:45 PM

The Byk train just keeps on rollin!!

Congrats and thanks as always.

Great day of capping.:$::tro:

dagolfer33 02-10-2013 05:00 PM

Congrats Steve!!! I went about it a little different way, but I too was fortunate enough to hit as well. Thanks for the inspiration needed to attack these pk 4's. 3/4 are very discouraging, but I'm well into the black so far this year thanks to pk4's.:tro::$:

wild barry 02-10-2013 05:29 PM

nice score on late pk. 4 at Gulfstream. Well done.

geeker2 02-10-2013 05:53 PM

Nice Steve Nice:$:

Kasept 02-10-2013 05:56 PM

Jim, Billy, Larry, Dave, Golf, Barry, Geeker..

Thanks guys.. Was nice to get a bonus paying winner after kind of ham-handing the big sequences. Hope everyone did well at GP and we can end well at SA..

And Golf.. Congrats yourself!

Bogey 02-10-2013 07:06 PM

Congrats Steve!!! Perfectly played again. Keep it going.

pointman 02-10-2013 07:23 PM

Great job today, Steve! :$:

Kasept 02-13-2013 04:56 AM

Gus, Nick.. THX fellas!


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:11 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.