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-   -   12/19: Gulfstream Park (5th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49448)

Kasept 12-19-2012 07:35 AM

12/19: Gulfstream Park (5th-9th)
 
Odd weekend with a good Saturday followed by a rough Sunday. Gulfstream's $80k P5 carryover and Hollywood closing day drew attention, but Florida action proved too simple and Cali too complex. Quiet on the 2 coasts until the 26th, so Hallandale, Tampa and New Orleans will have players focus until then. At Gulfstream today, El Padrino returns in the 4th and Quiros, a half brother of Invasor, debuts in the 7th..


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Drop It Now 3-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #5 Alejandro 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Normandruth 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Sweetsouthernman 12-1 4th


6th: CLM, 2yo-F, 1m-T/0' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Tricolette 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Ecstatic 12-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #3 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Analogy 5-1 4th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Quiros (Street Cry) a half to the great Invasor but no guarantee he's ready at first asking or cranked up by Matz for sprinting. Remember that Jess Campitelli is encouraged by what Chief Falco has displayed preparing for debut. Pletcher/Melnyk unveil Oistin's Town here, a Speightstown son out of the same connections' nice Tweedside..

Most Likely: #4 Oistin's Town 4-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Chief Falco 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jay Eye See 7-2 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #5 To Dare Is to Do 8-1 9th


8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 8.5f-T/60' (DD)

Summit County holds slight edge versus these, but not by much and after him nearly everyone fits..

Most Likely: #2 Summit County 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #4 Made in U.S.A. 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Lightening Cutter 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Jump for Kitten 6-1 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-T/0' (Super Hi-5)

$15,686 Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #8 Dragon Tail 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Dr. Goldfarb 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Lime Drop Kid 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Saturnus 10-1 WON ($33.00)


<$50 P5 Play:

5: 3-5-7
6: 7-9
7: 4-7
8: 2-4
9: 1-7-8

3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-7-9
7: 4-7
8: 2-4-8-9
9: 1-3-7-8

3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-19-2012 10:37 AM

GP SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 12-19-2012 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by arizonadave (Post 907589)
nice handicapping Steve.Lots of red.

Thx Dave, had good looks but I left a small fortune out there today with tentative plays. Was unfortunate. Hope all did well. Got 2 Emails from folks that hit with the opinions, so that's gratifying.

And Happy Birthday again!

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-19-2012 07:22 PM

what happened to payson dave? and nice job today steve.. i drank the koolaid on the 7 .and singled him in my pick 4..the kid that rode the 3 is very hot. and should be a factor in gulfstream plays..

Kasept 12-19-2012 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 907613)
what happened to payson dave? and nice job today steve.. i drank the koolaid on the 7 .and singled him in my pick 4..the kid that rode the 3 is very hot. and should be a factor in gulfstream plays..

Thx Matto.. Dave has been sick. And I have not heard from him in a while now. Glad you asked. Will try to find out how he's doing..


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