Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   10/21: Santa Anita ($61k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48833)

Kasept 10-21-2012 10:50 AM

10/21: Santa Anita ($61k C/O)
 
SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$61k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Megastar 8-5 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #3 Unusual Jazz 10-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #7 Green Secret 4-1 (C) WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 SCR


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Somenchanted Evenin 6-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sweetrayofsunshine 3-1 (A) WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Burton's Angel 6-1 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #3 Itsphun 7-2 (C) 6th


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Downhill always super-competitive and will pass on short price returnee Eula B. off the break..

Most Likely: #6 Point Cadet 9-2 11th
Next Best: #13 (AE) SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Urania 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Pogonip 6-1 WON ($17.80)
SCR Sub: #8 Corinthian Melody 20-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Only 4 have experience in this group but there are debuting filles that could pop. Breeding on display with Baffert firster Heartless, a half to speedy Force Freeze, and Escape Act, half to Papa Clem for Bo Hirsch and Gary Stute..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Rosamond 7-2 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #10 Imwiththeblonde 3-1 (A) WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Heartless 5-1 (B) 9th
Best Value: #2 SCR


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 No Silent 9-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #7 Accelerant 9-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Starspangled Heat 9-2 (C) WON ($9.20)


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #14 Awkward Mondays 3-1 (A) WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #8 Coranto 6-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #10 Goodbye Charlie 8-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Late SCR
Super/Hi-5: #6 Star of America 4-1 (C) 7th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1
5: 4-5
6: 1-6-13 (1-6-9 if 13 not in)
7: #2 SCR-4-10-11
8: 6
9: 8-10-14

1x2x3x4x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-13 (1-6-9 if 13 not in)
7: #2 SCR-4-6-8-10-11
8: 6-7
9: 4/Late SCR-8-10-14

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

dino 10-22-2012 09:40 AM

Great job Steve.

fantini33 10-22-2012 03:44 PM

Congrats! Ausable gets it done up at the Lakes after getting pounded at the windows!

Kasept 10-22-2012 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dino (Post 897464)
Great job Steve.

Quote:

Originally Posted by arizonadave (Post 897468)
When Steve does his picks on a carry over day in California, they are gold.Belmont has been a mess with all the rain and off tracks. Keenland too has been a tough track. Give Steve a reason to handicap Santa Anita and look at all that red. Thanks Steve.

dino.. dave..

Thanks very much. As I said on ATR today, I was quite disappointed to miss the big one but it was a fun afternoon with the some nice results. As Dave suggests, I've come to really enjoy the SA seasons and frequently have a lot of confidence going into their sequences. (As part of that, I will say straight out that Andy Harrington's National Turf clocker reports have been a HUGE asset playing California.)

Hope everyone did well!

Kasept 10-22-2012 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33 (Post 897548)
Congrats! Ausable gets it done up at the Lakes after getting pounded at the windows!

'tini!

THX a lot.. She actually floated up after opening at 3-2.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:08 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.