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-   -   FRI 11/2 (SA): Breeders' Cup (Fields Post-Draw; Odds) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48684)

Kasept 10-10-2012 06:52 AM

FRI 11/2 (SA): Breeders' Cup (Fields Post-Draw; Odds)
 
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint

1. Hightail (Lukas/Maragh) 8-1
2. Ceiling Kitty (Dascombe/JV) 12-1
3. Merit Man (Hess/PVal) 8-5
4. South Floyd (O'Neill/R. Dominguez) 6-1
5. Super Ninety Nine (Baffert/M. Garcia) 5-2
6. Hazardous (O'Callahan/Maldanado) 8-1
7. Sweet Shirley Mae (Ward/Rosario) 4-1



Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2)

1. Atigun (McPeek/M. Smith) 9-2
2. Fame and Glory-GB (O'Brien/Spencer) 5-1
3. Balladry (Harty/J. Graham) 30-1
4. Grassy (M. Jones/Gomez) 30-1
5. Jaycito (Baffert/Talamo) 6-1
6. Calidoscopio-ARG (Puype/Gryder) 8-1
7. Not Abroad (Petro/N. Petro) 5-1
8. Romp-ARG (Mulhall/Rosario) 30-1
9. Almudena-PER (Puype/Valdivia) 30-1
10. Eldaafer (Alvarado/C. Santana) 8-1
11. Commander (Taylor/Mario) 15-1
12. Worth Repeating (Machowsky/M. Pedroza) 5-1
13. Sense of Purpose (Weld/Smullen) 15-1
14. Juniper Pass (Bell/Dettori) 30-1



Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1)

1. Kitten's Point (Motion/Bejarano) 12-1
2. Summer of Fun (Weaver/R. Dominguez) 30-1
3. Sky Lantern (Hannon/R. Hughes) 3-1
4. Flotilla-FR (Delzangles/Lemaire) 8-1
5. Spring Venture (Casse/Husbands) 5-1
6. Watsdachances-IRE (Brown/Castallano) 4-1
7. Oscar Party (Catalano/) 20-1
8. Tara from the Cape (Pletcher) 12-1
9. Nancy O (Costigan/Moran) 30-1
10. Waterway Run (Wachman/Dettori) 10-1
11. Moonwalk (Romans/Moran) 20-1
12. The Gold Cheongsam (Noseda/Buick) 20-1
13. Flashy Ways (Gaines/Talamo) 10-1
14. Sustained (Romans/Rosario) 12-1
---------------------------------------------------
15. (AE) Infanta Branca (O'Brien/Moore) 15-1
16. (AE) Moulin de Mougin (Mandella/Nakatani) 15-1



2012 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)

1. Beholder (Mandella/Gomez) 5-2
2. Executiveprivilege (Baffert/Bejarano) 2-1
3. Spring In The Air (Casse/Husbands) 15-1
4. Renee's Queen (Guillot/Nakatani) 30-1
5. Dreaming of Julia (Pletcher/JV) 5-2
6. Almost an Angel (Ward/Rosario) 30-1
7. Broken Spell (Lukas/Maragh) 20-1
8. Kauai Katie (Pletcher/Napravnik) 3-1



Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1)

1. Star Billing (Shirreffs/Espinoza) 30-1
2. Zagora-FR (Brown/Castallano) 8-1
3. Stormy Lucy (Lucarelli/M. Pedroza) 30-1
4. The Fugue-GB (Gosden/Buick) 7-2
5. Nereid (Shirreffs/Leparoux) 15-1
6. Lady of Shamrock (Sadler/M. Smith) 12-1
7. Up-IRE (O'Brien/Moore) 12-1
-- SCRATCHED (Nahrain-GB)
9. Marketing Mix (Proctor/Gomez) 9-2
10. Ridasiyna-FR (Delzangles/Lemaire) 4-1
11. I'm A Dreamer (Simcock/R. Hughes) 8-1
12. In Lingerie (Pletcher/JV) 12-1



Breeders' Cup Distaff

1. Grace Hall (A. Dutrow/Castellano) 10-1
2. My Miss Aurelia (Asmussen/Nakatani) 4-1
3. Class Included (Penney/R. Baze) 30-1
4. Questing (KMc/I. Ortiz Jr.) 4-1
5. Awesome Feather (Brown/J. Sanchez) 3-1
6. Royal Delta (Mott/M. Smith) 2011 Winner 9-5
7. Include Me Out (Ellis/Talamo) 15-1
8. Love and Pride (Pletcher/JV) 8-1

analyizethis 10-10-2012 07:57 PM

Has there ever been a field with three former BC Champs, two of whom are undefeated?

The Distaff looks like a real opportunity to get some value. Fillies like Questing and In Lingerie will be double digit odds with the top three taking probably 50% of the pool.

cakes44 10-10-2012 08:34 PM

Tapitsfly would be very interesting to me in th turf sprint. Wouldn't want any part of her at 5 furlongs, but 6.5 down the hill could be a different story

letswastemoney 10-10-2012 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by analyizethis (Post 895206)
Has there ever been a field with three former BC Champs, two of whom are undefeated?

The Distaff looks like a real opportunity to get some value. Fillies like Questing and In Lingerie will be double digit odds with the top three taking probably 50% of the pool.

If this were the synthetic Breeders' Cup, I'd love In Lingerie.

Dahoss 10-10-2012 08:51 PM

God I hope Questing is double digit odds in the Breeders Cup.

hockey2315 10-10-2012 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 895215)
God I hope Questing is double digit odds in the Breeders Cup.

Same here. . . I don't think it's happening, but that would be insane.

I'm not greedy--I'll take 6-1.

Kasept 10-11-2012 04:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney (Post 895212)
If this were the synthetic Breeders' Cup, I'd love In Lingerie.

Looks like they'll consider the F&M Turf for her..

http://www.drf.com/news/breeders-cup...train-big-race

Meanwhile, another 3-year-old filly, In Lingerie, could make an appearance in the Filly and Mare Turf, despite not having raced on the grass. Winner of last Saturday’s Grade 1 Spinster at Keeneland, she is a multiple winner on Polytrack, a surface on which some turf horses show an affinity.

Aron Wellman of Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, the partnership that co-owns the filly with Gary Barber, said they are keeping the Filly and Mare Turf under consideration, along with the Ladies’ Classic.

She was shipped from Keeneland to Santa Anita on Tuesday and is preparing for the Breeders’ Cup, with her specific Breeders’ Cup race to be determined in the weeks ahead. She could be cross-entered in both races, Wellman said.

analyizethis 10-11-2012 10:28 AM

I was figuring that the undefeated My Miss Aurelia would be in the group with Awesome Feathers and Royal Delta eating up 50% of the betting pool. I recognize that she did have a 7 pound allowance in the Cotillion but it was only her second start in almost 11 months and clearly Assmussen's target is the BC. I always have to look hard at undefeated runners who get ignored because they are thought to be too slow.

I am going to spread in the multi race bets but the bets on this race individually will need to be dicated by value on the tote.

Indian Charlie 10-11-2012 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 895053)
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint

Baby J (R. Dutrow)
Beholder (Mandella) ** Juvenile Fillies
Carried Interest (Violette)
Dance Card (KMc)
Drum Roll (Pletcher)
Eden's Moon (Ellis)
Handsome Jack (Ward)
Kauai Katie (Pletcher)
Merit Man (Hess)
Scherer Magic (Sadler)
Special Jo (Asmussen)
Tree of Life (Dollase)
Weekend Hideaway (Serpe)

I did not realize Ron Ellis took over the training for Eden's Moon!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Indian Charlie 10-11-2012 12:16 PM

I hope Rupert doesn't get too upset with me.

letswastemoney 10-11-2012 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by analyizethis (Post 895264)
I was figuring that the undefeated My Miss Aurelia would be in the group with Awesome Feathers and Royal Delta eating up 50% of the betting pool. I recognize that she did have a 7 pound allowance in the Cotillion but it was only her second start in almost 11 months and clearly Assmussen's target is the BC. I always have to look hard at undefeated runners who get ignored because they are thought to be too slow.

I am going to spread in the multi race bets but the bets on this race individually will need to be dicated by value on the tote.

My Miss Aurelia has quite a large fanbase. I'd be surprised if her odds creeped up above Questing, especially now that she defeated Questing.

It's hard to think of examples when undefeated horses are ignored. Normally, an undefeated horse is the only factor that can overshadow horses with high Beyer Speed Figures.

my miss storm cat 10-15-2012 01:16 PM

ThurloeThoroughbreds‏@ThurloeThbreds

Finally, WATERWAY RUN is being prepared for her trip to California where she will be taking her place in the BREEDERS CUP FILLIES JUVENILE.


https://twitter.com/ThurloeThbreds

hockey2315 10-15-2012 11:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 896160)
ThurloeThoroughbreds‏@ThurloeThbreds

Finally, WATERWAY RUN is being prepared for her trip to California where she will be taking her place in the BREEDERS CUP FILLIES JUVENILE.


https://twitter.com/ThurloeThbreds

Intriguing. . . she's definitely bred for a dirt route.

Alan07 10-18-2012 06:04 AM

Ridasiyna is coming for the F&M Turf, per the Aga Kahn twitter.

Kasept 10-18-2012 07:12 AM

Fri. possibles updated..

Kasept 10-19-2012 01:36 PM

Dubb makes it official for My Happy Face who will stay at home in NY and run in the Tempted..

Kasept 10-20-2012 01:45 PM

@DRFPrivman Scarlet Strike will not run in BC Juvenile Fillies, owing to concern over not being able to use Lasix, Hollendorfer just told me.

Round Pen 10-20-2012 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 897136)
@DRFPrivman Scarlet Strike will not run in BC Juvenile Fillies, owing to concern over not being able to use Lasix, Hollendorfer just told me.

The way things are going there might only be 5 or 6 in the Juvy fillies.
:(

Alan07 10-21-2012 10:29 AM

@DRFGrening: Todd said Kauai Katie will pre-enter Juvenile Fillies & Juvenile Sprint. She worked 5f in co w Turbulent Descent in 1:00.81

GPK 10-21-2012 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Round Pen (Post 897183)
The way things are going there might only be 5 or 6 in the Juvy fillies.
:(

Doesn't matter...none of them beating Beholder.


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