Derby Trail Forums - 9/12: Belmont (6th-9th); Fairplex ($215k C/O)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sandy'z Slew 4-5 8th
Next Best: #4 Leilani's Ticket 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Hooked Forever 6-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Song of Aspen 20-1 3rd

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Ivanho 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Next Question 4-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #1 New Yawker 9-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Fizzano 6-1 7th

8th: Smart N Fancy, 3yo-F, 6f-IT (DD)

Very nice little stake and super competitive. Kiss in the Forest, Heaven Knows What, Sweet Cat and Somasuch found a common opponent in Tim Salzman's very sharp turf sprinter Sensible Lady when mixing it up in the Coronation Cup at SAR or in the case of Somasuch, the Jenny Wade at PEN. Somasuch SCRATCHED will need to run her best yet to impact this, but is within range of the top choices and may get the set up she needs. Choice of Alan Garcia suits filly's style and the price will be right..

Best Value: #2 Anna Sophia 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Kiss in the Forest 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Sweet Cat 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Madame Giry 5-1 WON ($6.40)

9th: CLM, 3+, 7f-T

These $20k claimer events were among Saratoga's most contentious races. This is no different..

Most Likely: #11 Versailles Road 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Fastest Magician 20-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Sr. Henry 7-2 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Runaway Jim 5-1 3rd

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 5
7: 1-5-7-11
8: 2-4-5-6-7-8
9: 4-7-9-12

1x4x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

FAIRPLEX

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$215k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Cat'sdoubledaygirl 3-1 (A) WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #8 Miz Wounded Knee 4-1 (A/B) 4th
Best Value: #5 Warren's Fantasy 15-1 (C) 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Our Black Beauty 5-2 (C) 2nd

6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Distinctive Yolie 4-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #4 Vicki Victoria 3-1 (A) 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Almost a Lady 5-2 (A/B) WON ($10.00)
Super Add: #5 Warren's Goldie 8-1 (C) 4th

7th: Cal-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mine Fever 8-5 (A) 5th
Best Value: #3 Warren's Rocky 6-1 (B) WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #5 Shoer Hugh 8-1 (B/C) 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Slippery Slewp 4-1 (B/C) 4th

8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Very tricky group. Blackman Bay (20-1) the type that busts open a sequence..

Most Likely: #4 Hey Yup 3-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #3 Zombieslayermrdarcy 5-2 (A) 7th
Best Value: #8 Blackman Bay 20-1 (B/C) 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Aragorn Sword 6-1 (B/C) WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #6 Irish Coral 4-1 (B/C) 2nd

9th: C. B. Afflerbaugh, 2yo, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Monument 8-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Carving 2-1 (B) WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Bubba Fizz 4-1 (B) 5th

10th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Cheap in-and-outers. Tough end to sequence..

Most Likely: #6 A Royal Tizzy 5-1 (A) 6th
Best Value: #5 Fit and Awesome 12-1 (B) 10th
Next Best: #7 Brereton Park 7-2 (B) WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Excessive Yodeler 15-1 (C) 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Chophouse George 10-1 (C) 3rd

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 4
6: 1-3-4
7: 2-3
8: 3-4-6-8-9
9: 2-5
10: 6

1x3x2x5x2x1 = 60 x $2 = $120

$2 Pick 6 (4/3/3/9/2/7) Paid $251.00 (5OF6)

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5
8: 3-4-6-8-9
9: 2-4-5
10: 5-6-7

3x5x3x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/9/2/7) Paid $197.40

JON WHITE'S FPX P6 PLAY

5: 3-4-7-8
6: 1-3-4-7
7: 3
8: 3-4-8-9
9: 2
10: 6

4x4x1x4x1x1 = 64 x $2 = $128

$2 Pick 6 (4/3/3/9/2/7) Paid $251.00 (5OF6)

Good luck!
Steve